East Kilbride vs Hamilton Head to Head, Prediction
K-Park Training Academy
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.26
Draw
3.65
Away Win
2.67
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
East Kilbride
Hamilton
30'
⚽ A. Ryan (S. Hendrie)
54'
🟨 S. McKinstry
S. Fagan 🟨
63'
L. McGrattan 🟨
69'
C. McKenzie 🟨
73'
75'
🟨 S. Bannigan
R. Armstrong 🟨
89'
Starting Lineups
East Kilbride
S. Kelly
S. Fagan
D. O'Connor
A. Steele
E. East
A. Smith
R. Armstrong
C. McGuffie
J. Balde
L. McGrattan
C. Elliott
Hamilton
D. Lyness
A. Comrie
K. Smutek
T. Gallacher
S. Hendrie
K. MacDonald
S. Bannigan
C. Blues
D. Thomas
A. Ryan
S. McKinstry
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hamilton edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Hamilton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from East Kilbride
East Kilbride's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a East Kilbride win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Kilbride win
Latest market chance 40.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
41.8% → 40.8%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.1% → 25.8%
+0.7 pts
Hamilton win
Latest market chance 33.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.1% → 33.4%
+0.3 pts
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East KilbrideHamilton
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
1.40
Points/Game
2.60
1.80
Goals/Game
2.20
1.80
Conceded/Game
0.00
9.4
Shots/Game
11.3
4.5
Shots on Target
6.0
Home vs Away Context
East Kilbride at home (4 matches) vs Hamilton away (3 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
2.33
2.75
Goals/Game
2.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.00
75%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
East Kilbride
Home form
W
W
Unbeaten in last 2 at home
Limited history — only 2 home fixtures on record for East Kilbride.
4.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.5
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/2
Scored in
last 2
last 2
1/2
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hamilton
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Hamilton.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Kilbridevs
Hamilton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.80
Goals conceded / game
0.60
4/5
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
2/5
Both Teams Scored
2/10
2/5
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 55.5%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 59.0%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
East Kilbride have only 5 completed fixtures on record.
5 of Hamilton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?