East Kilbride vs Peterhead Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
K-Park Training Academy
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.71
Away Win
3.88
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
East Kilbride
Peterhead
C. Elliott (S. Kelly) ⚽
15'
R. Armstrong 🟨
31'
41'
🟨 D. Forrest
47'
⚽ L. Keir (F. Mackie)
C. Elliott (M. Zaid) ⚽
74'
76'
🟨 R. Tekle
D. O'Connor 🟨
82'
83'
🟨 T. Davies-Browne
C. Elliott ⚽
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. East Kilbride edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
East Kilbride slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
East Kilbride stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Peterhead have recorded only a solitary victory and a single draw from their last five away outings across multiple seasons, while East Kilbride have secured two wins without a draw in their three most recent home fixtures. The hosts have found the net in two of their last three matches at home, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in just one of those same outings. East Kilbride rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 5 days ago. East Kilbride remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
East Kilbride win
Latest market chance 59.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
56.4% → 59.1%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.8% → 20.7%
−3.1 pts
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 20.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.8% → 20.2%
+0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
East Kilbride
Draw
Peterhead
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
East KilbridePeterhead
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.17
1.50
Goals/Game
0.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.50
9.4
Shots/Game
7.9
4.5
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
East Kilbride at home (4 matches) vs Peterhead away (5 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.80
2.75
Goals/Game
0.80
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.80
75%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
East Kilbride
Home form
W
W
L
Won 2 of last 3 at home
Limited history — only 3 home fixtures on record for East Kilbride.
2.67
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.67
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/3
Scored in
last 3
last 3
1/3
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Peterhead
Away form
L
L
W
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between East Kilbride and Peterhead.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
East Kilbridevs
Peterhead
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.60
1.67
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/6
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
2/6
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/6
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 63.2%+7.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 60.2%+4.5 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
East Kilbride have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Peterhead's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?