Montrose vs Cove Rangers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Links Park
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
4.03
Away Win
4.20
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Montrose
Cove Rangers
B. Lyons ⚽
10'
H. Craig (J. Sutherland) ⚽
48'
68'
⚽ D. Oladipo (E. Oppong)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Montrose edge attack, Cove Rangers edge defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Montrose stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cove Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cove Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cove Rangers have struggled away from home recently, managing just a solitary win in their last five outings across multiple campaigns, while Montrose look slightly more stable at the top end with two victories from their corresponding home sample of that same duration. Montrose have found the net in only two of their last five matches at this venue and have kept a clean sheet just once during that identical recent spell. Montrose rate stronger on attack, while Cove Rangers rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. Cove Rangers won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 7 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Montrose's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Montrose losing run
3
Cove Rangers points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Montrose
Montrose's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Montrose win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montrose win
Latest market chance 54.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
47.2% → 54.7%
+7.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
25.9% → 23.6%
−2.3 pts
Cove Rangers win
Latest market chance 21.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.0% → 21.7%
−5.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Montrose
Draw
Cove Rangers
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MontroseCove Rangers

Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
0.83
1.50
Goals/Game
0.67
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
7.2
Shots/Game
8.9
3.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Montrose at home (4 matches) vs Cove Rangers away (5 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.00
1.75
Goals/Game
0.80
1.75
Conceded/Game
2.40
75%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Montrose
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Cove Rangers
Away form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montrose Wins
0
Draws
2
Cove Rangers Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.4
Montrose2 – 3Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers3 – 1Montrose
Montrose0 – 3Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers3 – 3Montrose
Montrose2 – 2Cove Rangers
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montrosevs
Cove Rangers

Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded / game
0.90
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
1/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.8%→Latest 57.4%+3.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Montrose's 10 matches and 4 of Cove Rangers's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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