Montrose vs Ross County Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Links Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
7.20
Draw
5.14
Away Win
1.40
Match Prediction
Data favours
Ross County
Ross County rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Ross County an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Ross County stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Ross County have enjoyed a solid run with three wins and two draws from their last five away fixtures, while Montrose have secured three victories but suffered two defeats in their most recent home outings. At home, Montrose have found the net in three of their last five matches but have only managed a single clean sheet during that same period. Ross County rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Ross County won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 8 August 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Montrose's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Montrose's implied win probability has fallen by 0.9 percentage points, while Ross County's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Ross County.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Ross County
Ross County's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Ross County win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Montrose win
Latest market chance 13.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
14.1% → 13.2%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.3% → 20.0%
−0.3 pts
Ross County win
Latest market chance 66.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
65.5% → 66.8%
+1.3 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MontroseRoss County
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
1st
9
Games Played
8
1.67
Points/Game
2.75
1.44
Goals/Game
3.25
1.56
Conceded/Game
0.62
7.2
Shots/Game
13.7
3.6
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Montrose at home (4 matches) vs Ross County away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
2.50
1.75
Goals/Game
2.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
0.75
75%
Win Rate
75%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Montrose
Home form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Ross County
Away form
D
W
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Montrose Wins
0
Draws
0
Ross County Wins
5
Avg Goals
4.8
Ross County2 – 1Montrose
Montrose2 – 3Ross County
Ross County3 – 0Montrose
Montrose3 – 6Ross County
Ross County3 – 1Montrose
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Montrosevs
Ross County
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
3.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.80
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.0%→Latest 59.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.2%→Latest 52.0%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Montrose's 10 matches and 2 of Ross County's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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