Peterhead vs Airdrie Utd Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Balmoor
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.93
Draw
3.19
Away Win
2.29
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Peterhead
Airdrie Utd
2'
🟨 S. Fisher
39'
⚽ (P) C. Burnside
62'
🟨 L. Gibson
66'
🟨 C. Ross
67'
🟨 M. Yates
Z. To 🟨
68'
D. Strachan (C. Dunne) ⚽
77'
80'
🟨 G. Gallagher
88'
⚽ C. Burnside
J. Brown 🟨
88'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Airdrie Utd edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Airdrie Utd stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Airdrie Utd have recorded just one win from their last five away outings, while Peterhead sit at 1 victory and a solitary draw in their corresponding home sample. Peterhead have managed to score in only two of their last five home matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Airdrie Utd rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Airdrie Utd won the most recent meeting 7-0 on 18 March 2023, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Peterhead's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Peterhead's implied win probability has fallen by 4.7 percentage points, while Airdrie Utd's implied win probability has risen by 3.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Peterhead
Peterhead's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Peterhead win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Airdrie Utd remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Peterhead win
Latest market chance 31.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.2% → 31.5%
−4.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.1% → 28.5%
+1.4 pts
Airdrie Utd win
Latest market chance 40.1%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
36.7% → 40.1%
+3.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Peterhead
Draw
Airdrie Utd
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PeterheadAirdrie Utd
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
8th
7
Games Played
7
1.00
Points/Game
0.86
0.71
Goals/Game
0.57
1.71
Conceded/Game
1.43
7.9
Shots/Game
8.0
3.0
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Peterhead at home (4 matches) vs Airdrie Utd away (4 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.00
0.75
Goals/Game
0.75
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Peterhead
Home form
D
L
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Airdrie Utd
Away form
D
W
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Peterhead Wins
0
Draws
2
Airdrie Utd Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.2
Airdrie Utd7 – 0Peterhead
Peterhead0 – 3Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd1 – 1Peterhead
Peterhead0 – 2Airdrie Utd
Airdrie Utd1 – 1Peterhead
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Peterheadvs
Airdrie Utd
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 48.7%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.6%→Latest 53.7%−1.9 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Peterhead's 10 matches and 3 of Airdrie Utd's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?