Queen of Sth vs Airdrie Utd Head to Head | Scottish League One

Match Report

Full Time

2 – 1

Match Events

Queen of Sth

Airdrie Utd

S. Want 🟨

32'

37'

⚽ L. McLeish (C. Burnside)

C. Young 🟨

39'

42'

🟨 L. Gibson

L. Smith 🟨

63'

64'

🟨 K. Boateng

C. Coughlin (Z. MacKenzie) ⚽

66'

67'

🟨 D. Gallagher

C. Goldie 🟨

73'

Z. MacKenzie (L. Smith) ⚽

78'

81'

🟨 S. Fisher

Starting Lineups

Queen of Sth

D. Mehmet

C. Goldie

N. Rogerson

S. Want

T. Charters

Z. MacKenzie

B. Johnstone

L. Smith

N. Clark

A. Davis

C. Young

Airdrie Utd

J. Sneddon

D. MacDonald

S. Fisher

D. Gallagher

K. Boateng

C. Ross

C. McKinnon

C. Burnside

G. Gallagher

L. Gibson

L. McLeish

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Queen of Sth edge head-to-head, Airdrie Utd edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Airdrie Utd slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Closely matched

HomeAway

Defence

Airdrie Utd slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Queen of Sth stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Notable shift away from Queen of Sth

Queen of Sth's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Queen of Sth win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. Airdrie Utd remain the clear market favourite.

Movement strength: Notable

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Queen of Sth win

Latest market chance 35.9%

Notable drift

Market chance decreased

37.4% → 35.9%

−1.5 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 27.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

26.6% → 27.0%

+0.4 pts

Airdrie Utd win

Latest market chance 37.1%

Slight shortening

Market chance increased

36.0% → 37.1%

+1.1 pts

3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Queen of Sth

Airdrie Utd

Season Profile

This season

10th

League Position

9th

Games Played

0.00

Points/Game

0.60

0.50

Goals/Game

0.40

2.50

Conceded/Game

1.60

8.5

Shots/Game

8.0

3.4

Shots on Target

3.4

Home vs Away Context

Queen of Sth at home (5 matches) vs Airdrie Utd away (4 matches)

1.40

Points/Game

1.00

1.40

Goals/Game

0.75

1.60

Conceded/Game

1.75

40%

Win Rate

25%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Queen of Sth

Home form

1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home

3 of these matches from last season.

1.2

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Airdrie Utd

Away form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 away

3 of these matches from last season.

1.4

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Queen of Sth Wins

Draws

Airdrie Utd Wins

Avg Goals

4.2

2023-04-292022-2023

Airdrie Utd1 – 3Queen of Sth

2023-03-042022-2023

Queen of Sth3 – 2Airdrie Utd

2022-10-082022-2023

Airdrie Utd3 – 3Queen of Sth

2022-08-132022-2023

Queen of Sth1 – 1Airdrie Utd

2010-04-242009-2010

Queen of Sth2 – 2Airdrie Utd

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Queen of Sth

Airdrie Utd

Recent Scoring Profile

1.30

Goals scored / game

1.30

1.60

Goals conceded / game

1.50

4/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

6/10

7/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

2/10

Failed to Score

3/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

74.6%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

52.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

31.6%

BTTSBoth teams score

56.8%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 54.4%→Latest 52.3%−2.1 pts

Notable move away from 3+ goals

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 58.2%→Latest 56.8%−1.4 pts

Slight move away from both teams scoring

Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

6 of Queen of Sth's 10 matches and 5 of Airdrie Utd's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Queen of Sth vs Airdrie Utd Head to Head, Prediction