Queen of Sth vs Cove Rangers Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Palmerston Park
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.95
Draw
3.38
Away Win
2.19
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 3
Match Events ?
Queen of Sth
Cove Rangers
N. Clark ⚽
12'
C. Young (C. McQueen) ⚽
17'
19'
🟨 E. Oppong
C. McQueen 🟨
44'
55'
⚽ C. Maguire (E. Oppong)
66'
🟨 R. Mutch
69'
⚽ J. White (D. Oladipo)
74'
⚽ D. Oladipo (J. Chalmers)
D. Mehmet 🟨
75'
C. Coughlin (Z. MacKenzie) ⚽
77'
78'
🟨 J. Chalmers
C. Young (C. Coughlin) ⚽
80'
R. Ellis 🟨
89'
Starting Lineups
Queen of Sth
D. Mehmet
C. Goldie
C. McQueen
S. Want
T. Charters
Z. MacKenzie
N. Rogerson
L. Smith
J. Stott
N. Clark
C. Young
Cove Rangers
R. Mutch
L. Bisland
A. Darge
J. Mercer
D. Ross
J. Chalmers
M. Barry
E. Oppong
C. Maguire
J. Teasdale
J. White
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Queen of Sth edge attack and head-to-head, Cove Rangers edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cove Rangers slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Queen of Sth stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cove Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Queen of Sth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cove Rangers have struggled away from home with just a solitary victory in their last five outings, while Queen of Sth have managed to secure three points at this venue across their recent campaign. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. Cove Rangers rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Queen of Sth rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Queen of Sth won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Cove Rangers's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Queen of Sth's implied win probability has fallen by 6.5 percentage points, while Cove Rangers's implied win probability has risen by 6.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Queen of Sth losing run
3
Cove Rangers points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Queen of Sth
Queen of Sth's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Queen of Sth win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. Cove Rangers remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Queen of Sth win
Latest market chance 32.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
38.6% → 32.1%
−6.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.6%
+0.5 pts
Cove Rangers win
Latest market chance 41.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
35.3% → 41.3%
+6.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Queen of Sth
Draw
Cove Rangers
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Queen of SthCove Rangers
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
9th
8
Games Played
8
0.50
Points/Game
0.63
0.75
Goals/Game
0.62
3.00
Conceded/Game
1.38
8.5
Shots/Game
8.9
3.4
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Queen of Sth at home (5 matches) vs Cove Rangers away (5 matches)
1.40
Points/Game
0.00
1.40
Goals/Game
0.80
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.40
40%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Queen of Sth
Home form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cove Rangers
Away form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Queen of Sth Wins
2
Draws
2
Cove Rangers Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Queen of Sth2 – 0Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers1 – 1Queen of Sth
Queen of Sth1 – 1Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers0 – 2Queen of Sth
Cove Rangers3 – 1Queen of Sth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Queen of Sthvs
Cove Rangers
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
0.70
2.70
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
2/10
3/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.8%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 56.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Queen of Sth's 10 matches and 2 of Cove Rangers's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?