Annan Athletic vs Elgin Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Galabank
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.55
Draw
3.69
Away Win
2.34
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Annan Athletic
Elgin
C. Maxwell ⚽
42'
A. Roy (P. Smith) ⚽
89'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Annan Athletic edge head-to-head, Elgin edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Elgin stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Elgin stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Annan Athletic stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Elgin have recorded just one victory from their last five away fixtures, while Annan Athletic have suffered three defeats in their home outings over the same span. Annan Athletic have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have only managed a single clean sheet during that period. Elgin rate stronger on form and attack, while Annan Athletic rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. Annan Athletic won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 11 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Elgin's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Annan Athletic win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Elgin remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 35.3%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
32.8% → 35.3%
+2.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 25.7%
−0.4 pts
Elgin win
Latest market chance 39.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
41.1% → 39.0%
−2.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Annan Athletic
Draw
Elgin
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Annan AthleticElgin
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
2nd
6
Games Played
6
1.00
Points/Game
1.83
1.17
Goals/Game
3.00
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.17
9.5
Shots/Game
11.8
3.6
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Annan Athletic at home (5 matches) vs Elgin away (4 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.00
1.40
Goals/Game
2.25
1.40
Conceded/Game
1.75
40%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Annan Athletic
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Elgin
Away form
D
D
W
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Annan Athletic Wins
4
Draws
0
Elgin Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.6
Elgin0 – 3Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic2 – 1Elgin
Elgin2 – 0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic3 – 2Elgin
Annan Athletic4 – 1Elgin
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Annan Athleticvs
Elgin
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.1%→Latest 58.2%+2.1 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 61.5%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
4 of Annan Athletic's 10 matches and 4 of Elgin's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?