Annan Athletic vs Stirling Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Galabank
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.72
Draw
3.76
Away Win
4.05
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Annan Athletic
Stirling
20'
🟨 D. Dobbie
A. Smith 🟨
21'
55'
⚽ M. Thomas
K. Watson 🟨
90+1'
C. Clark 🟨
90+4'
90+4'
🟨 L. Hamilton
90+4'
🟨 Z. Cameron
K. McKnight 🟨
90+4'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Annan Athletic edge recent form and defence, Stirling edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Annan Athletic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stirling slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Annan Athletic stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stirling stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stirling have struggled away from home with just a solitary draw in their last five outings, while Annan Athletic sit at the other end of the scale having secured two victories and one draw during that same span at this venue. Annan Athletic have found the net in every single home game in their last five matches, yet they have also kept two clean sheets within that identical sample period. Annan Athletic rate stronger on form and defence, while Stirling rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Annan Athletic's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Stirling's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Stirling losing run
1
Stirling points from last 5 matches
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Stirling
Stirling's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Stirling win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Annan Athletic remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 53.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
54.9% → 53.9%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.8% → 23.5%
−0.3 pts
Stirling win
Latest market chance 22.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.3% → 22.6%
+1.3 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+3+1.50−1.5Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Annan Athletic
Draw
Stirling
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Annan Athletic
Stirling
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
10th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
0.63
1.12
Goals/Game
1.25
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.75
9.5
Shots/Game
9.2
3.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Annan Athletic at home (5 matches) vs Stirling away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
0.60
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
1.40
Conceded/Game
3.40
40%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Annan Athletic
Home form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Stirling
Away form
D
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
3.6
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Annan Athletic Wins
0
Draws
4
Stirling Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
2026-03-072025-2026
Annan Athletic3 – 3Stirling
2026-02-242025-2026
Stirling2 – 0Annan Athletic
2025-10-182025-2026
Annan Athletic1 – 1Stirling
2025-08-092025-2026
Stirling0 – 0Annan Athletic
2024-05-042023-2024
Stirling1 – 1Annan Athletic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Annan Athletic
vs
Stirling
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
2.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
79.4%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
58.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
38.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
59.0%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.9%→Latest 58.6%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 58.4%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Annan Athletic's 10 matches and 2 of Stirling's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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