Edinburgh City vs Spartans Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadowbank Sports Centre
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.52
Draw
4.01
Away Win
2.46
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Edinburgh City edge recent form, attack and defence, Spartans edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Edinburgh City slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Spartans have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away fixtures, while Edinburgh City boast three victories and one draw in their last five home outings. Edinburgh City have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have kept two clean sheets during that same period. Edinburgh City rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while Spartans rate stronger on head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Edinburgh City's implied win probability has risen by 2.2 percentage points, while Spartans's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Spartans
Spartans's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Spartans win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Edinburgh City win
Latest market chance 37.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.9% → 37.1%
+2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 25.5%
+0.1 pts
Spartans win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.7% → 37.4%
−2.3 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Edinburgh CitySpartans
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
5th
9
Games Played
9
1.67
Points/Game
1.33
2.11
Goals/Game
2.11
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.89
12.6
Shots/Game
11.0
6.6
Shots on Target
5.4
Home vs Away Context
Edinburgh City at home (4 matches) vs Spartans away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.50
2.25
Goals/Game
1.50
2.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Edinburgh City
Home form
W
L
W
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Spartans
Away form
D
W
L
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Edinburgh City Wins
1
Draws
2
Spartans Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Spartans2 – 2Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City0 – 3Spartans
Spartans0 – 0Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City1 – 3Spartans
Spartans0 – 1Edinburgh City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Edinburgh Cityvs
Spartans
Recent Scoring Profile
2.10
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 59.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.6%→Latest 62.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Edinburgh City's 10 matches and 1 of Spartans's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?