Edinburgh City vs Stirling Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Meadowbank Sports Centre
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.65
Draw
3.63
Away Win
4.74
Match Report
Full Time
7 – 3
Match Events ?
Edinburgh City
Stirling
I. Lawson (L. Walker) ⚽
5'
J. Jarvis ⚽ (P)
18'
K. Foster (L. Walker) ⚽
26'
L. Walker (M. Aiken) ⚽
31'
I. Lawson (J. Jarvis) ⚽
42'
K. Foster ⚽
54'
57'
⚽ L. Fyfe
I. Lawson (L. Walker) ⚽
59'
62'
⚽ (P) R. McLean
68'
⚽ R. McLean (J. Mullin)
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Edinburgh City edge recent form, attack and defence, Stirling edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stirling stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stirling arrive with a poor away record of just one draw and four defeats from their last five outings, whereas Edinburgh City have secured two wins and two draws in the same number of home matches. At this venue, Edinburgh City have scored in four of their last five games while also keeping two clean sheets during that identical sample period. Edinburgh City rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Stirling rate stronger on head-to-head. Stirling won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 28 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Edinburgh City's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Stirling points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Edinburgh City win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Edinburgh City win
Latest market chance 56.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
50.7% → 56.2%
+5.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.3% → 25.2%
−0.1 pts
Stirling win
Latest market chance 18.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
24.0% → 18.6%
−5.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Edinburgh City
Draw
Stirling
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Edinburgh CityStirling
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
10th
6
Games Played
6
1.33
Points/Game
0.67
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.83
Conceded/Game
2.33
12.6
Shots/Game
9.2
6.6
Shots on Target
4.9
Home vs Away Context
Edinburgh City at home (4 matches) vs Stirling away (5 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.60
2.25
Goals/Game
1.20
2.25
Conceded/Game
3.40
50%
Win Rate
20%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Edinburgh City
Home form
D
W
L
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Stirling
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Edinburgh City Wins
1
Draws
0
Stirling Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.6
Stirling1 – 0Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City1 – 4Stirling
Stirling0 – 1Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City1 – 2Stirling
Stirling2 – 1Edinburgh City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Edinburgh Cityvs
Stirling
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded / game
2.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 55.1%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 54.9%−3.0 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Edinburgh City's 10 matches and 4 of Stirling's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?