Kelty Hearts vs Annan Athletic Head to Head, Prediction
New Central Park
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.07
Draw
4.00
Away Win
2.79
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Kelty Hearts
Annan Athletic
13'
🟨 K. Watson
I. Murray (F. Moffett) ⚽
15'
T. Falconer 🟨
71'
83'
⚽ T. Muir (W. Gibson)
N. Lawson (A. Ferguson) ⚽
85'
J. Brydon 🟨
88'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kelty Hearts edge recent form and attack, Annan Athletic edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Kelty Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Kelty Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Annan Athletic stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Kelty Hearts win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kelty Hearts win
Latest market chance 44.3%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
50.4% → 44.3%
−6.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 25.5%
+0.7 pts
Annan Athletic win
Latest market chance 30.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.8% → 30.3%
+5.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kelty Hearts
Draw
Annan Athletic
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Kelty HeartsAnnan Athletic
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
7th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
1.20
1.40
Goals/Game
1.20
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.40
10.4
Shots/Game
9.5
4.8
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Kelty Hearts at home (4 matches) vs Annan Athletic away (4 matches)
2.25
Points/Game
0.75
2.25
Goals/Game
0.50
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
75%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kelty Hearts
Home form
W
D
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Annan Athletic
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kelty Hearts Wins
2
Draws
0
Annan Athletic Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Annan Athletic2 – 1Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts1 – 3Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic0 – 2Kelty Hearts
Kelty Hearts3 – 0Annan Athletic
Annan Athletic3 – 2Kelty Hearts
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kelty Heartsvs
Annan Athletic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.4%→Latest 55.7%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.9%→Latest 58.6%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Kelty Hearts's 10 matches and 5 of Annan Athletic's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?