Spartans vs Forfar Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ainslie Park
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
3.88
Away Win
4.60
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 1
Match Events ?
Spartans
Forfar
M. Stowe (M. McNulty) ⚽
6'
J. Tapping 🟨
36'
C. Russell (M. McNulty) ⚽
41'
M. Stowe (J. Craigen) ⚽
43'
B. Whyte 🟨
60'
M. Mudie 🟨
63'
73'
⚽ L. Perrie (A. Arnott)
C. Russell (B. Heal) ⚽
74'
M. Stowe (J. Craigen) ⚽
79'
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Spartans edge attack and head-to-head, Forfar edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Forfar stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Spartans stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Forfar have managed just one victory from their last five away outings, while Spartans remain winless in four of their last five home fixtures. Spartans have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have kept no clean sheets during that same span. Forfar rate stronger on form and defence, while Spartans rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 21 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Spartans
Spartans's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Spartans win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Spartans win
Latest market chance 57.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
53.9% → 57.3%
+3.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.9% → 23.7%
−1.2 pts
Forfar win
Latest market chance 19.0%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
21.2% → 19.0%
−2.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Spartans
Draw
Forfar
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SpartansForfar
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
6
Games Played
6
1.50
Points/Game
1.33
2.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.33
11.0
Shots/Game
8.2
5.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Spartans at home (5 matches) vs Forfar away (5 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
0.40
2.60
Goals/Game
0.80
2.20
Conceded/Game
2.40
20%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Spartans
Home form
L
D
D
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Forfar
Away form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Spartans Wins
3
Draws
2
Forfar Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.6
Forfar1 – 1Spartans
Spartans1 – 0Forfar
Forfar1 – 1Spartans
Spartans1 – 0Forfar
Forfar0 – 2Spartans
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Spartansvs
Forfar
Recent Scoring Profile
2.00
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 56.1%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 54.9%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
4 of Spartans's 10 matches and 4 of Forfar's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?