Stranraer vs Edinburgh City Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stair Park
Sat 03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.11
Draw
3.55
Away Win
2.97
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Stranraer
Edinburgh City
10'
🟨 J. McGregor
36'
🟨 J. Leitch
47'
🟨 I. Lawson
60'
🟨 C. McGinn
81'
🟨 M. Aiken
A. Quigg 🟨
83'
B. Coll 🟨
85'
89'
🟨 G. Allen
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stranraer edge recent form and defence, Edinburgh City edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stranraer stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Edinburgh City slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stranraer stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Edinburgh City stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stranraer have secured three victories and just a solitary defeat in their last five home outings, while Edinburgh City have managed two wins alongside one draw and two losses across their recent away fixtures. Stranraer have found the net in four of their last five home matches, yet they have only managed to keep a clean sheet twice during that same period. Stranraer rate stronger on form and defence, while Edinburgh City rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. Edinburgh City won the most recent meeting 4-1 on 7 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Stranraer's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Edinburgh City win as more likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Stranraer remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stranraer win
Latest market chance 43.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
44.8% → 43.9%
−0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.7% → 25.4%
−0.3 pts
Edinburgh City win
Latest market chance 30.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
29.5% → 30.6%
+1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stranraer
Draw
Edinburgh City
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StranraerEdinburgh City
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
2.00
Points/Game
1.75
2.12
Goals/Game
2.38
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.88
11.1
Shots/Game
12.6
4.8
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Stranraer at home (5 matches) vs Edinburgh City away (5 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.60
1.20
Goals/Game
2.00
0.40
Conceded/Game
1.20
60%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stranraer
Home form
D
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Edinburgh City
Away form
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stranraer Wins
2
Draws
1
Edinburgh City Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Edinburgh City4 – 1Stranraer
Stranraer1 – 1Edinburgh City
Edinburgh City1 – 3Stranraer
Stranraer1 – 2Edinburgh City
Stranraer2 – 0Edinburgh City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stranraervs
Edinburgh City
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
2.20
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 54.2%−1.7 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.6%→Latest 57.4%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
2 of Stranraer's 10 matches and 2 of Edinburgh City's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?