Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Head to Head, Prediction
Pittodrie Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
3.97
Away Win
4.62
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
Christopher Cadden 🟨
36'
38'
🟨 Aaron Tshibola
43'
🟨 Tom Lowery
52'
🟨 N. McCann
Ayoub Mouloua 🟨
52'
Mats Knoester 🟨
62'
Lewis Mayo 🟨
75'
82'
🟥 Aaron Tshibola
Stuart Armstrong 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
7
13
Fouls
13
5
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Aberdeen (4-1-3-2)
M. Muller
C. Cadden
L. Mayo
D. Happe
N. Guinness-Walker
A. Aremu
L. Smith
S. Armstrong
T. Yogane
M. Ntelo
K. Nisbet
Kilmarnock (4-1-3-2)
M. Stryjek
J. Brandon
C. McCarthy
G. Stanger
M. Schjonning-Larsen
A. Tshibola
G. Kiltie
T. Lowery
E. Ring
D. Daniels
J. Hugill
Player Ratings ?
Aberdeen
M. MüllerG7.6
S. ArmstrongM7.2
D. HappeD7.0
Kilmarnock
E. RingM7.2
C. McCarthyD6.9
R. McKenzieM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Aberdeen edge defence and head-to-head, Kilmarnock edge attack, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Kilmarnock stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Aberdeen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Aberdeen stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aberdeen win
Latest market chance 54.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
54.1% → 54.4%
+0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.5%
+0.2 pts
Kilmarnock win
Latest market chance 21.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
21.6% → 21.0%
−0.6 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
AberdeenKilmarnock
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
4
Games Played
4
0.75
Points/Game
0.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.00
1.75
Conceded/Game
3.50
9.9
Shots/Game
9.9
2.6
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Aberdeen at home (3 matches) vs Kilmarnock away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
1.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aberdeen
Home form
W
W
L
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kilmarnock
Away form
L
L
W
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aberdeen Wins
4
Draws
0
Kilmarnock Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Aberdeen1 – 0Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock3 – 0Aberdeen
Aberdeen2 – 1Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock0 – 1Aberdeen
Aberdeen1 – 0Kilmarnock
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Aberdeenvs
Kilmarnock
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 9 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.8%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.3%→Latest 57.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Aberdeen's 10 matches and 6 of Kilmarnock's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?