Dundee United vs Hibernian Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Tannadice Park
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.73
Draw
3.58
Away Win
2.47
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hibernian edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hibernian slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hibernian arrive with an impressive away record, securing four victories from their last five outings on the road, while Dundee United have found consistency difficult to maintain at home with just one win and three draws in that same span. At home, Dundee United have managed to find the net in three of their last five matches, yet they have also conceded in three of those same games, having kept just two clean sheets during that period. Hibernian rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while attack and defence are closely matched. Hibernian won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 4 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Dundee United's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 4.2 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Dundee United's implied win probability has risen by 1.5 percentage points, while Hibernian's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3
Hibernian losing run
12
Hibernian points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Dundee United
No current absences reported
Hibernian
No current absences reported
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Dundee United
Dundee United's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Dundee United win as more likely than it did 21 days ago. Hibernian remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 34.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.4% → 34.9%
+1.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 26.8%
±0.0 pts
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 38.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
39.8% → 38.3%
−1.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
17 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dundee United
Draw
Hibernian
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 21 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Dundee United
Hibernian
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
10th
7
Games Played
7
1.14
Points/Game
1.00
1.29
Goals/Game
1.14
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.57
15.9
Shots/Game
16.9
5.0
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
Dundee United at home (3 matches) vs Hibernian away (3 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
2.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dundee United
Home form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Hibernian
Away form
W
W
W
W
L
Won 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dundee United Wins
0
Draws
2
Hibernian Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.2
2026-02-042025-2026
Hibernian3 – 2Dundee United
2025-12-202025-2026
Dundee United1 – 1Hibernian
2025-09-132025-2026
Hibernian3 – 3Dundee United
2025-05-032024-2025
Hibernian3 – 1Dundee United
2025-02-262024-2025
Dundee United1 – 3Hibernian
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dundee United
vs
Hibernian
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
79.3%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
57.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
37.8%
BTTSBoth teams score
62.1%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 57.8%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.5%→Latest 61.5%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
4 common bookmakers · first comparable 21 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
3 of Dundee United's 10 matches and 3 of Hibernian's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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