Dundee vs Motherwell Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Dens Park
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.14
Draw
3.40
Away Win
2.35
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Dundee
Motherwell
Joe Westley ⚽ (P)
23'
Bradley·Fink (Ryan Astley) ⚽
40'
44'
⚽ Alex·Lowry (Tom Sparrow)
67'
🟨 Dylan Williams
Owen Goodman 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
11
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Goal
4
9
Corner Kicks
9
8
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Dundee (4-4-2)
O. Goodman
D. Wright
R. Astley
O. Bevan
I. Samuels
A. Forrest
C. Jones
E. Hamilton
J. Moorhouse
J. Westley
B. Fink
Motherwell (4-2-3-1)
A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow
J. Girdwood-Reich
M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel
L. Fadinger
J. Hodge
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
A. Lowry
I. Said
S. Palmer-Houlden
Player Ratings ?
Dundee
B. FinkF7.6
O. BevanD7.1
J. WestleyF7.0
Motherwell
A. LowryM7.3
L. FadingerM7.2
T. SparrowD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Dundee edge recent form and defence, Motherwell edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Motherwell stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee have enjoyed a solid run at home with three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings, while Motherwell have been less consistent away from home with two victories, a solitary draw, and two losses over the same span. At home, Dundee have found the net in all five of their most recent matches but have managed to keep a clean sheet on only two occasions during that identical period. Dundee rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Motherwell rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Dundee won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 7 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Motherwell's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Dundee's implied win probability has risen by 0.4 percentage points, while Motherwell's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Motherwell
Motherwell's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Motherwell win as less likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Dundee win
Latest market chance 31.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.7% → 31.1%
+0.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.0% → 28.0%
+1.0 pts
Motherwell win
Latest market chance 40.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
42.3% → 40.9%
−1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Dundee
Draw
Motherwell
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
DundeeMotherwell
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
5th
6
Games Played
6
1.17
Points/Game
1.33
1.17
Goals/Game
1.33
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
11.3
Shots/Game
14.6
3.7
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Dundee at home (4 matches) vs Motherwell away (4 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
1.00
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Dundee
Home form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Motherwell
Away form
L
W
W
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Dundee Wins
1
Draws
1
Motherwell Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
Dundee2 – 1Motherwell
Motherwell1 – 0Dundee
Dundee1 – 1Motherwell
Dundee1 – 2Motherwell
Motherwell2 – 1Dundee
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Dundeevs
Motherwell
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 54.6%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 59.5%+2.4 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Dundee's 10 matches and 4 of Motherwell's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?