Falkirk vs Dundee Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Falkirk Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.03
Draw
3.57
Away Win
3.60
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Falkirk edge head-to-head, Dundee edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Dundee stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Falkirk stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Dundee have secured just one victory in their last five away fixtures, while Falkirk have also recorded four defeats from their last five home outings. At home, Falkirk have found the net in four of their last five matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Dundee rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Falkirk rate stronger on head-to-head. Falkirk won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 February 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Dundee's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Falkirk's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while Dundee's implied win probability has risen by 0.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Falkirk points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Falkirk
No current absences reported
Dundee
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Falkirk
Falkirk's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Falkirk win as less likely than it did 21 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Falkirk win
Latest market chance 46.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.3% → 46.0%
−1.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.9%
+0.6 pts
Dundee win
Latest market chance 27.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.3% → 27.1%
+0.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Falkirk
Draw
Dundee
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 21 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FalkirkDundee
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
4th
7
Games Played
7
0.86
Points/Game
1.43
0.86
Goals/Game
1.29
1.29
Conceded/Game
1.00
10.7
Shots/Game
11.3
2.9
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Falkirk at home (3 matches) vs Dundee away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Falkirk
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee
Away form
L
L
L
W
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Falkirk Wins
4
Draws
0
Dundee Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Falkirk1 – 0Dundee
Dundee1 – 0Falkirk
Falkirk2 – 1Dundee
Dundee0 – 1Falkirk
Falkirk2 – 0Dundee
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Falkirkvs
Dundee
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.60
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.4%→Latest 54.1%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 57.4%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Falkirk's 10 matches and 3 of Dundee's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?