Hearts vs Dundee Head to Head, Prediction
Tynecastle Park
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.50
Draw
4.15
Away Win
6.26
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Hearts
Dundee
17'
⚽ B. Fink (I. Samuels)
Josh McPake 🟨
35'
45+8'
🟨 Ryan Finnigan
62'
🟨 Ethan Hamilton
69'
🟨 Imari Samuels
C. Braga ⚽ (P)
84'
Sabah Kerjota 🟨
90+7'
90+1'
🟥 Žan Bešir
S. Kerjota (J. McPake) ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
72%
Ball Possession
28%
27
Total Shots
4
7
Shots on Goal
1
14
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Hearts (4-2-3-1)
B. Reus
J. Altena
O. McEntee
S. Findlay
J. McCart
T. Magnusson
L. Mendy
C. Miller
C. Braga
J. McPake
J. Wilson
Dundee (4-4-2)
O. Goodman
D. Wright
R. Astley
O. Bevan
I. Samuels
F. Robertson
R. Finnigan
E. Hamilton
A. Forrest
B. Fink
J. Westley
Player Ratings ?
Hearts
Sabah KerjotaF8.3
Harry MilneD7.5
Jordi AltenaD7.2
Dundee
Owen GoodmanG8.3
Alan ForrestM7.3
Ryan AstleyD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Hearts
Hearts rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Hearts a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hearts stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from the draw
the draw's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a draw as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Hearts remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Hearts win
Latest market chance 62.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
61.7% → 62.3%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
22.8% → 21.9%
−0.9 pts
Dundee win
Latest market chance 15.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.5% → 15.7%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Hearts
Draw
Dundee
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
HeartsDundee
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
4
Games Played
5
2.25
Points/Game
1.40
2.50
Goals/Game
1.20
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.80
16.3
Shots/Game
11.3
5.3
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Hearts at home (3 matches) vs Dundee away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
2.67
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Hearts
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee
Away form
D
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Hearts Wins
4
Draws
0
Dundee Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.6
Hearts1 – 0Dundee
Dundee0 – 1Hearts
Hearts4 – 0Dundee
Hearts0 – 1Dundee
Dundee0 – 6Hearts
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Heartsvs
Dundee
Recent Scoring Profile
2.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.20
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 59.7%+2.7 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 55.7%+1.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Hearts's 10 matches and 5 of Dundee's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?