Motherwell vs Dundee United Head to Head, Prediction
Fir Park
Wed 02 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.99
Draw
3.67
Away Win
3.76
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Motherwell
Dundee United
14'
🟥 Emmanuel Agyei
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden (Tom Sparrow) ⚽
19'
Sebastian Palmer-Houlden 🟨
35'
Alex·Lowry (Tawanda Maswanhise) ⚽
65'
Dylan Levitt (Tawanda Maswanhise) ⚽
67'
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
25
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Goal
1
9
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
6
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
1
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Motherwell (4-2-3-1)
A. Paulsen
T. Sparrow
Jamie Knight-Lebel
M. Moormann
M. Emmanuel
J. Hodge
L. Fadinger
J. Kanga
A. Lowry
S. Palmer-Houlden
Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise
Dundee United (4-3-3)
J. Walton
J. Rawlins
B. Esselink
M. Forbes
W. Ferry
Panutche Camará
E. Agyei
Abdoulaye Yoro
M. Merghem
Z. Sapsford
D. Bennie
Player Ratings ?
Motherwell
A. LowryM8.2
S. Palmer-HouldenM8.2
D. LevittM7.9
Dundee United
L. RoseF6.8
M. MerghemF6.7
J. WaltonG6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Motherwell edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Motherwell slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Motherwell slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Motherwell slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Motherwell stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Motherwell
Motherwell's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Motherwell win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Motherwell win
Latest market chance 47.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
50.7% → 47.7%
−3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.4% → 26.1%
+0.7 pts
Dundee United win
Latest market chance 26.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
23.9% → 26.2%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Motherwell
Draw
Dundee United
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MotherwellDundee United
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
8th
3
Games Played
4
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.67
Goals/Game
1.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.75
14.6
Shots/Game
15.9
4.7
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Motherwell at home (3 matches) vs Dundee United away (4 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.75
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.75
33%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Motherwell
Home form
D
L
D
L
D
Winless in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Dundee United
Away form
L
L
D
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Motherwell Wins
3
Draws
1
Dundee United Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Motherwell2 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United0 – 0Motherwell
Motherwell2 – 0Dundee United
Dundee United1 – 0Motherwell
Motherwell4 – 3Dundee United
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Motherwellvs
Dundee United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
5/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.5%→Latest 55.5%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.5%→Latest 58.4%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Motherwell's 10 matches and 6 of Dundee United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?