Rangers vs Kilmarnock Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ibrox Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.15
Draw
8.60
Away Win
14.50
Match Prediction
Data favours
Rangers
Rangers rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Rangers an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Kilmarnock have enjoyed a solid away run with three wins and just one defeat in their last five outings, while Rangers sit at the opposite end of the spectrum having suffered three losses in that same span at home. At Ibrox, Rangers have found the net in every single game over their last five matches but have managed only two clean sheets in that identical period. Rangers rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Rangers won the most recent meeting 5-1 on 4 February 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Kilmarnock's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.0 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Rangers's implied win probability has risen by 3.6 percentage points, while Kilmarnock's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Rangers.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Rangers
No current absences reported
Kilmarnock
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Rangers
Rangers's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Rangers win as more likely than it did 21 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rangers win
Latest market chance 81.9%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
78.3% → 81.9%
+3.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 11.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
14.4% → 11.9%
−2.5 pts
Kilmarnock win
Latest market chance 6.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
7.3% → 6.2%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rangers
Draw
Kilmarnock
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 21 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RangersKilmarnock
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
12th
7
Games Played
7
2.29
Points/Game
0.71
1.14
Goals/Game
0.86
0.57
Conceded/Game
2.14
20.0
Shots/Game
9.9
6.7
Shots on Target
4.0
Home vs Away Context
Rangers at home (3 matches) vs Kilmarnock away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
0.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rangers
Home form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kilmarnock
Away form
W
W
L
D
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rangers Wins
5
Draws
0
Kilmarnock Wins
0
Avg Goals
5.0
Rangers5 – 1Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock0 – 3Rangers
Rangers3 – 1Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock2 – 4Rangers
Rangers6 – 0Kilmarnock
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rangersvs
Kilmarnock
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.0%→Latest 71.7%+5.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.0%→Latest 49.1%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
3 of Rangers's 10 matches and 3 of Kilmarnock's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?