Rangers vs St Mirren Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ibrox Stadium
Wed 09 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.31
Draw
5.75
Away Win
9.18
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Rangers
St Mirren
55'
🟨 Calvin Ramsay
Dujon Sterling 🟨
62'
Bojan Miovski (Ryan Naderi) ⚽
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
18
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Goal
2
12
Corner Kicks
0
13
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Rangers (4-2-3-1)
I. Pandur
D. Sterling
E. Fernandez
O. Makhanya
J. Penrice
N. Raskin
D. Neil
B. Bouanani
R. Naderi
D. Gassama
K. Kelsy
St Mirren (5-4-1)
J. Chapman
C. Ramsay
Louis Jackson
A. Gogić
Henry Fieldson
D. John
C. Mochrie
R. Carr
F. Taylor
Ismeal Kabia
N. Agrafiotis
Player Ratings ?
Rangers
B. MiovskiF7.6
K. KelsyF7.5
N. RaskinM7.3
St Mirren
J. ChapmanG7.8
Henry FieldsonD7.2
Louis JacksonD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Rangers edge attack and head-to-head, St Mirren edge defence, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Defence
St Mirren slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Rangers stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
St Mirren have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Rangers have managed just two wins in their corresponding home sample. Rangers have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept a single clean sheet during that same period. Rangers rate stronger on attack and head-to-head, while St Mirren hold a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. Rangers won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 15 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to St Mirren's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Rangers win
Latest market chance 71.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
71.8% → 71.7%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
17.2% → 17.1%
−0.1 pts
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 11.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
10.9% → 11.2%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Rangers
Draw
St Mirren
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RangersSt Mirren
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
3rd
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.20
Goals/Game
1.60
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.00
20.0
Shots/Game
14.3
6.7
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Rangers at home (3 matches) vs St Mirren away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
67%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Rangers
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
St Mirren
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Rangers Wins
2
Draws
2
St Mirren Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
St Mirren0 – 1Rangers
Rangers2 – 1St Mirren
St Mirren1 – 1Rangers
St Mirren2 – 2Rangers
Rangers0 – 2St Mirren
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Rangersvs
St Mirren
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.20
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 12 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.6%→Latest 65.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 54.5%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Rangers's 10 matches and 5 of St Mirren's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?