St Johnstone vs Hibernian Head to Head, Prediction
McDiarmid Park
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.82
Draw
3.25
Away Win
2.44
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
St Johnstone
Hibernian
J. Fowler ⚽
17'
29'
⚽ N. Lowe (M. Chaiwa)
Taylor Steven 🟨
36'
J. Fowler ⚽ (P)
41'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
9
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
3
2
Corner Kicks
7
10
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
St Johnstone (4-3-3)
T. Steward
L. Smith
Z. Mitchell
C. Diabate
E. Alic
S. Stanton
R. McAlear
J. Holt
T. Steven
J. Fowler
J. Gullan
Hibernian (4-1-4-1)
R. Sallinger
F. Passlack
J. Kerr
G. Hanley
A. Mayor
J. Devaney
M. Boyle
J. Mulligan
M. Chaiwa
J. McGrath
N. Lowe
Player Ratings ?
St Johnstone
Taylor StevenF8.5
Enes AlićD7.9
Zach MitchellD7.5
Hibernian
Nathan LoweF7.6
Kanayochukwu MegwaD7.5
Jason KerrD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Hibernian edge recent form and head-to-head, attack and defence are closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hibernian stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Hibernian
Hibernian's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Hibernian win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Johnstone win
Latest market chance 33.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
33.8% → 33.9%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.3% → 28.9%
+1.6 pts
Hibernian win
Latest market chance 37.2%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
38.9% → 37.2%
−1.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
St Johnstone
Draw
Hibernian
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St JohnstoneHibernian
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
7th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
1.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.75
10.6
Shots/Game
16.9
3.7
Shots on Target
4.4
Home vs Away Context
St Johnstone at home (4 matches) vs Hibernian away (3 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.75
Goals/Game
1.67
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.33
50%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Johnstone
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hibernian
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Johnstone Wins
1
Draws
1
Hibernian Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.8
Hibernian3 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 1Hibernian
Hibernian2 – 0St Johnstone
St Johnstone1 – 3Hibernian
Hibernian1 – 2St Johnstone
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Johnstonevs
Hibernian
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.60
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 50.1%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 55.7%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of St Johnstone's 10 matches and 6 of Hibernian's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?