St Mirren vs Celtic Head to Head, Prediction
The SMISA Stadium
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.53
Draw
4.68
Away Win
1.51
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
St Mirren
Celtic
8'
🟨 Colby Donovan
N. Agrafiotis ⚽ (P)
22'
Calvin Ramsay 🟨
37'
51'
⚽ L. Scales (B. Nygren)
68'
⚽ Yang Hyun-Jun (C. Duran)
Samuel Ramos 🟨
90+7'
Paul Nsio 🟨
90+7'
Eseosa Sule 🟨
90+6'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
19
Total Shots
23
6
Shots on Goal
8
6
Corner Kicks
10
6
Fouls
15
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
St Mirren (4-2-3-1)
J. Chapman
C. Ramsay
A. Gogic
H. Fieldson
D. John
R. Carr
P. Nsio
C. R. Mochrie
F. Taylor
I. Kabia
N. Agrafiotis
Celtic (4-2-3-1)
V. Sinisalo
C. Donovan
C. Carter-Vickers
A. Trusty
L. Scales
C. McGregor
M. Baur
H. Hassan
B. Nygren
Yang Hyun-Jun
C. Duran
Player Ratings ?
St Mirren
Alexander GogićD7.7
Jacob ChapmanG7.2
Jake YoungF7.2
Celtic
Haissem HassanM8.5
Liam ScalesD8.3
Cameron Carter-VickersD7.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Celtic
Celtic rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Celtic an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Celtic slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Celtic stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Celtic
Celtic's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Celtic win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
St Mirren win
Latest market chance 15.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
12.2% → 15.5%
+3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.3% → 20.8%
+0.5 pts
Celtic win
Latest market chance 63.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
67.5% → 63.7%
−3.8 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
St MirrenCeltic
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
1st
4
Games Played
4
2.50
Points/Game
3.00
1.75
Goals/Game
2.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
0.50
14.3
Shots/Game
20.0
3.9
Shots on Target
8.3
Home vs Away Context
St Mirren at home (4 matches) vs Celtic away (3 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.25
Goals/Game
2.67
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
25%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
St Mirren
Home form
L
L
D
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Celtic
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
St Mirren Wins
0
Draws
1
Celtic Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Celtic1 – 0St Mirren
St Mirren0 – 1Celtic
Celtic1 – 0St Mirren
Celtic1 – 1St Mirren
St Mirren2 – 5Celtic
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
St Mirrenvs
Celtic
Recent Scoring Profile
1.00
Goals scored / game
2.60
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.80
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
2/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 63.8%+4.1 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.0%→Latest 58.9%+6.9 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of St Mirren's 10 matches and 6 of Celtic's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?