Bologna vs Sassuolo Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.05
Draw
3.44
Away Win
3.90
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Bologna
Sassuolo
19'
⚽ J. Doig
R. Piccoli (J. Miranda) ⚽
50'
Emil Holm 🟨
51'
Roberto Piccoli 🟨
53'
54'
🟨 Jay Idzes
56'
⚽ V. Adzic
Artem Dovbyk 🟨
90+1'
A. Dovbyk ⚽
90'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
21
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
6
10
Corner Kicks
7
14
Fouls
8
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Bologna (4-2-3-1)
L. Skorupski
E. Holm
T. Heggem
A. Theate
R. Alhassane
L. Ferguson
T. Pobega
F. Bernardeschi
J. Odgaard
N. Cambiaghi
R. Piccoli
Sassuolo (4-3-3)
A. Muric
S. Cinquegrano
J. Idzes
F. Leysen
J. Doig
V. Adzic
N. Matic
L. Lipani
C. Volpato
K. Bowie
A. Lauriente
Player Ratings ?
Bologna
Lewis FergusonM8.2
Emil HolmD7.9
Roberto PiccoliF7.2
Sassuolo
Vasilije AdžićM7.9
Fedde LeysenD7.5
Arijanet MurićG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bologna edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Sassuolo edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bologna stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sassuolo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bologna stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bologna stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Bologna
Bologna's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bologna win as less likely than it did 7 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bologna win
Latest market chance 47.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
48.7% → 47.1%
−1.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.7% → 28.0%
+0.3 pts
Sassuolo win
Latest market chance 24.9%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.5% → 24.9%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bologna
Draw
Sassuolo
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 7 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BolognaSassuolo
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
11th
2
Games Played
2
0.00
Points/Game
1.50
0.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
13.4
Shots/Game
17.2
3.2
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away Context
Bologna at home (3 matches) vs Sassuolo away (3 matches)
0.67
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.00
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bologna
Home form
W
L
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sassuolo
Away form
L
D
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bologna Wins
2
Draws
3
Sassuolo Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.6
Sassuolo0 – 1Bologna
Bologna1 – 1Sassuolo
Bologna4 – 2Sassuolo
Sassuolo1 – 1Bologna
Sassuolo1 – 1Bologna
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bolognavs
Sassuolo
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 11 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.3%→Latest 47.0%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.3%→Latest 51.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
8 of Bologna's 10 matches and 8 of Sassuolo's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?