Cagliari vs Juventus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Unipol Domus
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
6.41
Draw
4.10
Away Win
1.55
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cagliari edge recent form, Juventus edge attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cagliari stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Juventus slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Juventus slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cagliari arrive at this Serie A fixture with three victories from their previous five outings at home, whereas Juventus have secured just two wins in five away matches across both seasons. The Sardinian side have found the net in three of their last five home games but have only kept one clean sheet during that same span. Cagliari rate stronger on form, while Juventus rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack and defence. Cagliari won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 17 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Juventus's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 24-day comparison window, Cagliari's implied win probability has risen by 0.6 percentage points, while Juventus's implied win probability has fallen by 2.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Team Availability
Cagliari
No current absences reported
Juventus
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Juventus
Juventus's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Juventus win as less likely than it did 24 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cagliari win
Latest market chance 15.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
14.5% → 15.1%
+0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
22.3% → 24.0%
+1.7 pts
Juventus win
Latest market chance 60.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
63.2% → 60.9%
−2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cagliari
Draw
Juventus
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 24 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CagliariJuventus
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
7th
5
Games Played
5
2.40
Points/Game
2.00
1.00
Goals/Game
1.60
0.40
Conceded/Game
0.80
10.8
Shots/Game
17.6
4.2
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Cagliari at home (2 matches) vs Juventus away (2 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
1.50
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cagliari
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Juventus
Away form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cagliari Wins
1
Draws
2
Juventus Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Cagliari1 – 0Juventus
Juventus2 – 1Cagliari
Cagliari0 – 1Juventus
Juventus1 – 1Cagliari
Cagliari2 – 2Juventus
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cagliarivs
Juventus
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
2/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 47.6%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 46.9%→Latest 46.0%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Cagliari's 10 matches and 5 of Juventus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?