Como vs Roma Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.58
Draw
3.66
Away Win
2.65
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Como edge head-to-head, Roma edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Como slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Roma have enjoyed a perfect away record with five consecutive victories in their recent outings, while Como have secured three wins from five at home alongside a solitary draw and defeat during that same span. At the club's home venue, Como have found the net in four of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets over that identical period. Roma rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Como hold a slight advantage in head-to-head. Como won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 15 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Roma's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 24-day comparison window, Como's implied win probability has fallen by 0.6 percentage points, while Roma's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Roma unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
15
Roma points from last 5 matches
Team Availability
Como
No current absences reported
Roma
No current absences reported
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Roma
Roma's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Roma win as more likely than it did 24 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Como remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Como win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.3% → 36.7%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 26.6%
−0.6 pts
Roma win
Latest market chance 36.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
35.5% → 36.7%
+1.2 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
19 snapshots
+1.5+0.750−0.75Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Como
Draw
Roma
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 24 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Como
Roma
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
1st
5
Games Played
5
2.00
Points/Game
2.60
1.80
Goals/Game
2.80
1.20
Conceded/Game
0.60
23.4
Shots/Game
20.6
7.2
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Como at home (1 match) vs Roma away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
3.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
100%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Como
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Roma
Away form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Como Wins
3
Draws
0
Roma Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
2026-03-152025-2026
Como2 – 1Roma
2025-12-152025-2026
Roma1 – 0Como
2025-03-022024-2025
Roma2 – 1Como
2024-12-152024-2025
Como2 – 0Roma
2003-01-252002-2003
Como2 – 0Roma
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Como
vs
Roma
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
2.70
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.50
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
78.6%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
56.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
35.4%
BTTSBoth teams score
60.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 56.7%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 24 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 60.5%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19Sep 20Sep 21Sep 22Sep 23Sep 24Sep 25Sep 26Sep 27Sep 28Sep 29Sep 30Oct 1Oct 2Oct 3Oct 4Oct 5
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 24 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Como's 10 matches and 5 of Roma's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…