Milan vs Atalanta Head to Head, Prediction
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
1.85
Draw
3.65
Away Win
4.16
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Milan edge recent form, attack and defence, Atalanta edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Milan stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Atalanta stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Milan win
Latest market chance 50.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
50.3% → 50.3%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.4% → 26.4%
±0.0 pts
Atalanta win
Latest market chance 23.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.3% → 23.3%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MilanAtalanta
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
11th
5
Games Played
5
2.20
Points/Game
1.20
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.80
Conceded/Game
1.40
12.8
Shots/Game
11.8
4.2
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Milan at home (2 matches) vs Atalanta away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.00
2.50
Goals/Game
0.50
0.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Milan
Home form
D
L
L
W
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Atalanta
Away form
L
W
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Milan Wins
0
Draws
2
Atalanta Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Milan2 – 3Atalanta
Atalanta1 – 1Milan
Milan0 – 1Atalanta
Atalanta2 – 1Milan
Milan1 – 1Atalanta
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Milanvs
Atalanta
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.7%→Latest 54.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Milan's 10 matches and 5 of Atalanta's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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