Monza vs Cagliari Head to Head, Prediction
Mon 19 Oct 2026 · 17:30 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.19
Draw
3.18
Away Win
3.58
Match Prediction
Data favours
Cagliari
Cagliari rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Monza edge attack, giving Cagliari an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cagliari stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Monza slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Cagliari stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cagliari stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 15 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Monza win
Latest market chance 44.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.1% → 44.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.1% → 29.1%
±0.0 pts
Cagliari win
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.9%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 15 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MonzaCagliari
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
4th
5
Games Played
5
0.80
Points/Game
2.40
1.60
Goals/Game
1.00
2.40
Conceded/Game
0.40
14.4
Shots/Game
10.8
6.0
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Monza at home (2 matches) vs Cagliari away (3 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
2.00
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.33
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Monza
Home form
L
L
L
L
W
Lost 4 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cagliari
Away form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Monza Wins
2
Draws
1
Cagliari Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.0
Cagliari3 – 0Monza
Monza1 – 2Cagliari
Monza1 – 0Cagliari
Cagliari1 – 1Monza
Monza1 – 0Cagliari
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Monzavs
Cagliari
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.40
Goals conceded / game
0.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.2%→Latest 45.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 50.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
5 of Monza's 10 matches and 5 of Cagliari's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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