Parma vs Genoa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.18
Draw
3.06
Away Win
2.56
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Parma
Genoa
D. Drobnic 🟨
9'
14'
🟨 S. Otoa
D. Romero (E. B. Toure) ⚽
38'
44'
🟨 A. Marcandalli
70'
⚽ M. Osmajic (L. Colombo)
P. Almqvist (N. Elphege) ⚽
80'
E. Delprato 🟨
85'
90+2'
🟨 M. E. Ellertsson
M. Troilo 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
5
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
5
15
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Offsides
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Parma (3-4-2-1)
E. Corvi
Diego Carlos
M. Troilo
D. Drobnic
E. Delprato
V. Sierro
M. Keita
E. Valeri
S. Lontani
E. B. Toure
D. Romero
Genoa (3-4-2-1)
J. Bijlow
A. Marcandalli
L. Ostigard
S. Otoa
K. Ehizibue
M. Frendrup
D. Sow
M. E. Ellertsson
Junior Messias
T. Baldanzi
M. Osmajic
Player Ratings ?
Parma
Edoardo CorviG7.3
Pontus AlmqvistF7.3
Mandela KeitaM7.2
Genoa
Junior MessiasF7.6
VitinhaF7.5
Milutin OsmajićF7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Parma edge recent form and attack, Genoa edge head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Parma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Parma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genoa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Genoa have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Parma have secured two wins in their corresponding home fixtures over the same span. Parma have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that identical period. There are three Parma players unavailable and two Genoa squad members out, though neither side carries any doubtful figures ahead of the Serie A fixture. Parma rate stronger on form and attack, while Genoa rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 18 January 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 0.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 13-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Parma win
Latest market chance 30.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.9% → 30.8%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 31.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.2% → 31.8%
−0.4 pts
Genoa win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.0% → 37.5%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Parma
Draw
Genoa
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ParmaGenoa
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
19th
4
Games Played
4
0.25
Points/Game
0.25
0.50
Goals/Game
0.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
8.2
Shots/Game
11.8
2.8
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Parma at home (3 matches) vs Genoa away (2 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
0.00
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Parma
Home form
W
L
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Genoa
Away form
W
D
D
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
1/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Parma Wins
1
Draws
2
Genoa Wins
2
Avg Goals
0.8
Parma0 – 0Genoa
Genoa0 – 0Parma
Genoa1 – 0Parma
Parma0 – 1Genoa
Parma2 – 0Genoa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Parmavs
Genoa
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.40
2/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
6/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 36.6%→Latest 38.1%+1.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 44.8%→Latest 46.7%+1.9 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Parma's 10 matches and 6 of Genoa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?