Roma vs Inter Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Olimpico
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.68
Draw
3.50
Away Win
2.67
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Roma
Inter
M. Kone (N. Molina) ⚽
6'
11'
🟨 Nicolò Barella
M. Kone (G. Mancini) ⚽
37'
45+4'
🟨 Manuel Akanji
46'
⚽ L. Martinez (M. Thuram)
57'
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
Evan Ndicka 🟨
73'
79'
⚽ L. Martinez
Konstantinos Koulierakis 🟨
82'
Daniele Ghilardi 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
18
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
2
13
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Offsides
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Roma (3-4-2-1)
M. Svilar
G. Mancini
L. Balerdi
M. Hermoso
Wesley Franca
B. Cristante
M. Kone
N. Molina
P. Dybala
M. Soule
D. Malen
Inter (3-1-4-2)
J. Martinez
Y. Bisseck
M. Akanji
A. Bastoni
P. Zielinski
A. Diouf
N. Barella
C. Jones
F. Dimarco
L. Martinez
M. Thuram
Player Ratings ?
Roma
Manu KonéM9.2
Mile SvilarG7.9
Paulo DybalaF7.9
Inter
Lautaro MartínezF8.9
Yann BisseckD7.6
Marcus ThuramF7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Roma edge recent form and defence, Inter edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Inter stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Inter have secured three wins and two draws in their last five away fixtures, while Roma remain unbeaten at home with four victories and a single draw from their corresponding sample. Roma have scored in all five of their recent home outings but have only kept three clean sheets during that same period. Roma face one confirmed absence, whereas Inter must manage two confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful. Roma rate stronger on defence, with a slight advantage in form, while Inter rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Inter won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 5 April 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Roma's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Roma's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points, while Inter's implied win probability has risen by 2.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Roma unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
13
Roma points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Inter
Inter's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Inter win as more likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Roma win
Latest market chance 35.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
37.2% → 35.8%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
28.8% → 27.8%
−1.0 pts
Inter win
Latest market chance 36.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
34.0% → 36.4%
+2.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Roma
Draw
Inter
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
RomaInter
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
2nd
4
Games Played
4
3.00
Points/Game
3.00
3.00
Goals/Game
3.25
0.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
20.6
Shots/Game
23.2
7.0
Shots on Target
7.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Roma at home (3 matches) vs Inter away (2 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
2.00
2.67
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
67%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Roma
Home form
D
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Inter
Away form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Roma Wins
1
Draws
0
Inter Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.2
Inter5 – 2Roma
Roma0 – 1Inter
Inter0 – 1Roma
Roma0 – 1Inter
Roma2 – 4Inter
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Romavs
Inter
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
2.70
0.40
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
3/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 58.7%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.9%→Latest 62.7%+3.8 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Roma's 10 matches and 6 of Inter's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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