Sassuolo vs Juventus Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.35
Draw
3.98
Away Win
1.67
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Sassuolo
Juventus
20'
🟨 J. Lucumi
L. Lipani 🟨
48'
S. Esposito (N. Matic) ⚽
65'
76'
🟨 Douglas Luiz
82'
⚽ E. Zhegrova
K. Bowie (D. Bakola) ⚽
89'
90+1'
⚽ E. Zhegrova (R. Kolo Muani)
F. Leysen 🟨
90+3'
V. Adzic (A. Lauriente) ⚽
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
18
6
Shots on Goal
8
3
Corner Kicks
9
7
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Sassuolo (4-2-3-1)
Arijanet Murić
Simone Cinquegrano
Jay Idzes
Fedde Leysen
Josh Doig
Nemanja Matić
Luca Lipani
Domenico Berardi
Kristian Thorstvedt
Armand Laurienté
Sebastiano Esposito
Juventus (4-2-3-1)
Guglielmo Vicario
Pierre Kalulu
Gleison Bremer
Jhon Lucumí
Zeki Çelik
Douglas Luiz
Teun Koopmeiners
Francisco Conceição
Nicolás González
Kerim Alajbegović
Randal Kolo Muani
Player Ratings ?
Sassuolo
Arijanet MurićG8.3
Sebastiano EspositoF8.0
Nemanja MatićM7.7
Juventus
Edon ZhegrovaF9.2
Francisco ConceiçãoM7.2
Teun KoopmeinersM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Juventus
Juventus rate stronger in recent form, defence and head-to-head; Sassuolo edge attack, giving Juventus a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sassuolo slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Juventus stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Juventus have secured three wins and two draws from their last five away fixtures, while Sassuolo boast four victories in just one defeat during that same five-match span at home. Sassuolo have found the net in every single one of their last five home outings yet have kept a clean sheet in only one of those same five matches. Both sides carry significant injury concerns ahead of the clash, with Sassuolo listing seven unavailable players alongside one doubtful option and Juventus reporting seven out plus two in doubt. Juventus rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Sassuolo hold a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 21 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 13-day comparison window, Sassuolo's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points, while Juventus's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Juventus a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Sassuolo
Sassuolo's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Sassuolo win as more likely than it did 13 days ago. Juventus remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Sassuolo win
Latest market chance 19.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
17.0% → 19.0%
+2.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.9%
±0.0 pts
Juventus win
Latest market chance 57.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
59.1% → 57.1%
−2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Sassuolo
Draw
Juventus
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SassuoloJuventus
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
8th
3
Games Played
3
1.33
Points/Game
2.33
1.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
17.2
Shots/Game
17.6
7.0
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Sassuolo at home (2 matches) vs Juventus away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.50
2.50
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
100%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Sassuolo
Home form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Juventus
Away form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Sassuolo Wins
2
Draws
1
Juventus Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Juventus1 – 1Sassuolo
Sassuolo0 – 3Juventus
Juventus3 – 0Sassuolo
Sassuolo4 – 2Juventus
Sassuolo1 – 0Juventus
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Sassuolovs
Juventus
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
0.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
1/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.5%→Latest 53.0%+2.5 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 52.3%+2.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Sassuolo's 10 matches and 7 of Juventus's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?