Torino vs Roma Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Olimpico di Torino
Mon 14 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.06
Draw
4.32
Away Win
1.56
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Torino
Roma
40'
⚽ D. Malen
61'
🟨 M. Hermoso
72'
🟨 N. Pisilli
90+3'
⚽ N. Pisilli
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
7
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
1
Corner Kicks
8
7
Fouls
20
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Torino (5-3-2)
Lucas Perri
Rafik Belghali
Eray Cömert
Saúl Coco
Pietro Comuzzo
Niccolò Fortini
Gvidas Gineitis
Rolando Mandragora
Kian Fitz-Jim
Giovanni Simeone
Nikola Vlašić
Roma (3-4-2-1)
Mile Svilar
Gianluca Mancini
Leonardo Balerdi
Mario Hermoso
Emanuele Lulli
Bryan Cristante
Niccolò Pisilli
Nahuel Molina
Paulo Dybala
Matías Soulé
Donyell Malen
Player Ratings ?
Torino
Lucas PerriG7.5
Daniel BragançaM7.2
Rolando MandragoraM7.0
Roma
Donyell MalenF7.9
Niccolò PisilliM7.5
Mile SvilarG7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Roma
Roma rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Roma a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Roma stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Roma have secured four victories in their last five away outings, whereas Torino have managed just two wins from five home fixtures during this same span. Torino have found the net in all of their last five home matches yet have conceded goals in every single one of those same five encounters. Both sides carry squad concerns ahead of kickoff, with Torino facing two confirmed absences alongside two players listed as doubtful while Roma have two confirmed out names but no doubts. Roma rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Roma won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 18 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Torino's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Torino's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points, while Roma's implied win probability has risen by 7.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Roma a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Roma points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Roma
Roma's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Roma win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Torino win
Latest market chance 15.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
18.8% → 15.8%
−3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
27.1% → 22.7%
−4.4 pts
Roma win
Latest market chance 61.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
54.1% → 61.5%
+7.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Torino
Draw
Roma
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
TorinoRoma
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
2nd
3
Games Played
3
1.00
Points/Game
3.00
1.33
Goals/Game
3.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
0.33
9.4
Shots/Game
20.6
3.0
Shots on Target
7.0
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Torino at home (2 matches) vs Roma away (2 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
3.00
0.50
Goals/Game
3.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.00
0%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Torino
Home form
W
D
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Roma
Away form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Torino Wins
1
Draws
0
Roma Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.2
Torino0 – 2Roma
Roma0 – 1Torino
Torino0 – 2Roma
Roma1 – 0Torino
Roma3 – 2Torino
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Torinovs
Roma
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.70
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.7%→Latest 54.4%+10.7 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 45.8%→Latest 51.6%+5.8 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Torino's 10 matches and 7 of Roma's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?