Udinese vs Cagliari Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.27
Draw
3.27
Away Win
3.48
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Udinese
Cagliari
Nicolò Zaniolo 🟨
4'
Jesper Karlström 🟨
22'
54'
⚽ D. Maldini
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
26
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Goal
2
16
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6
Starting Lineups
Udinese (3-4-2-1)
M. Okoye
J. Abankwah
C. Kabasele
E. Ebosse
M. Vojvoda
L. Miller
J. Karlstrom
H. Kamara
N. Zaniolo
J. Ekkelenkamp
K. Davis
Cagliari (5-3-2)
E. Caprile
M. Adopo
J. Pedro
Y. Mina
J. Rodriguez
A. Obert
A. Romano
H. Winks
A. Deiola
P. Mendy
D. Maldini
Player Ratings ?
Udinese
Christian KabaseleD7.5
Alessandro ZanoliD7.5
James AbankwahD7.3
Cagliari
Elia CaprileG8.5
Yerry MinaD8.2
Zé PedroD7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Udinese edge head-to-head, Cagliari edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cagliari stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Cagliari stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Udinese stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cagliari have enjoyed an encouraging recent record away from home with three wins and a single draw in their last five outings, whereas Udinese have struggled at home with just one victory and one draw from the same number of matches. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five home fixtures but have only kept just one clean sheet in that same recent sample. Both squads face significant availability concerns, with Udinese carrying three confirmed out and one doubtful player while Cagliari have four confirmed out and one doubtful on their books. Cagliari rate stronger on form and defence, while Udinese rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Udinese won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 9 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Cagliari's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Udinese's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points, while Cagliari's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Udinese
Udinese's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Udinese win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Udinese win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
46.8% → 42.6%
−4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.1% → 29.2%
+0.1 pts
Cagliari win
Latest market chance 28.2%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
24.1% → 28.2%
+4.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Udinese
Draw
Cagliari
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
UdineseCagliari

Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
5th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
2.25
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
2.50
Conceded/Game
0.50
14.2
Shots/Game
10.8
4.8
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Udinese at home (3 matches) vs Cagliari away (3 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
3.00
0.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.33
0%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Udinese
Home form
L
W
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Cagliari
Away form
L
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Udinese Wins
3
Draws
2
Cagliari Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.2
Cagliari0 – 2Udinese
Udinese1 – 1Cagliari
Cagliari1 – 2Udinese
Udinese2 – 0Cagliari
Udinese1 – 1Cagliari
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Udinesevs
Cagliari

Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded / game
1.10
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.3%→Latest 45.9%+4.6 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.0%→Latest 51.9%+4.9 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Udinese's 10 matches and 6 of Cagliari's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?