Venezia vs Napoli Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
4.44
Draw
4.15
Away Win
1.70
Match Prediction
Data favours
Napoli
Napoli rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Napoli a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Napoli stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 13 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Venezia win
Latest market chance 20.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.1% → 24.1%
±0.0 pts
Napoli win
Latest market chance 55.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.1% → 55.1%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 13 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VeneziaNapoli
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
9th
5
Games Played
5
0.00
Points/Game
1.40
0.80
Goals/Game
1.40
2.60
Conceded/Game
1.20
14.0
Shots/Game
13.8
4.4
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Venezia at home (3 matches) vs Napoli away (3 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
1.33
0.67
Goals/Game
1.67
2.67
Conceded/Game
1.33
0%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Venezia
Home form
W
L
L
L
L
Lost 4 straight at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Napoli
Away form
D
W
W
L
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Venezia Wins
0
Draws
2
Napoli Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.4
Venezia0 – 0Napoli
Napoli1 – 0Venezia
Venezia0 – 2Napoli
Napoli2 – 0Venezia
Napoli1 – 1Venezia
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Veneziavs
Napoli
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.70
2.30
Goals conceded / game
0.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.3%→Latest 56.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 56.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
5 of Venezia's 10 matches and 5 of Napoli's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?