Arezzo vs Cremonese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Citta di Arezzo
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
3.04
Draw
3.08
Away Win
2.53
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Arezzo edge recent form and head-to-head, Cremonese edge defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Arezzo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Cremonese stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Arezzo stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cremonese have recorded just one victory from their last five away outings, while Arezzo have managed a single win in their last five home matches. Arezzo have found the net in four of their last five home matches, though they have only kept one clean sheet during that same span. Arezzo rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Cremonese rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2006. The market has remained broadly steady over the 6-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Arezzo win
Latest market chance 31.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
31.8% → 31.8%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.2% → 30.2%
±0.0 pts
Cremonese win
Latest market chance 38.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.0% → 38.0%
±0.0 pts
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArezzoCremonese
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
15th
5
Games Played
5
1.20
Points/Game
1.00
1.20
Goals/Game
1.00
2.60
Conceded/Game
1.40
12.4
Shots/Game
12.6
2.8
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Arezzo at home (2 matches) vs Cremonese away (2 matches)
0.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.50
Goals/Game
1.00
3.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Arezzo
Home form
W
L
D
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cremonese
Away form
D
W
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Arezzo Wins
1
Draws
1
Cremonese Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.5
Cremonese0 – 1Arezzo
Arezzo1 – 1Cremonese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arezzovs
Cremonese
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 46.3%→Latest 46.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 52.3%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
5 of Arezzo's 10 matches and 5 of Cremonese's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?