Catanzaro vs Carrarese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.09
Draw
3.22
Away Win
3.98
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Catanzaro
Carrarese
40'
🟨 Luka Topalovic
Nicola Mosti 🟨
53'
56'
🟨 Gabriele parlanti
62'
🟨 Gabriele Cioffi
Franky Tchaouna 🟨
78'
Pietro Lemmello (Simone Pafundi) ⚽
83'
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
20
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
1
2
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Catanzaro (3-4-2-1)
M. Pigliacelli
M. Ruggero
Matias Antonini
B. Verrengia
M. Dorval
J. Petriccione
N. Mosti
G. Alesi
S. Pafundi
P. Iemmello
E. Pecorino
Carrarese (3-5-2)
S. Pizzignacco
F. Ruggeri
F. Oliana
F. Reale
J. Martini
G. Parlanti
Nicolás Schiavi
L. Topalović
J. Rouhi
F. Abiuso
M. Cissé
Player Ratings ?
Catanzaro
P. IemmelloM8.2
S. PafundiM7.7
A. CandelaD7.3
Carrarese
F. OlianaD6.9
F. RuggeriD6.8
T. RubinoF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Catanzaro edge attack and head-to-head, Carrarese edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Carrarese stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Catanzaro stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Carrarese slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Catanzaro stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Carrarese have recorded just one win and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Catanzaro have secured three victories in that same span at home. Catanzaro have found the net in four of their last five home matches while keeping two clean sheets in that identical sample. Carrarese rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Catanzaro rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 4 March 2026, ended level, with 3 of the last 4 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 5 days ago. Catanzaro remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Catanzaro win
Latest market chance 46.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
47.5% → 46.1%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 29.6%
+2.2 pts
Carrarese win
Latest market chance 24.3%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.2% → 24.3%
−0.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Catanzaro
Draw
Carrarese
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CatanzaroCarrarese
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
18th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
0.33
1.00
Goals/Game
0.67
2.33
Conceded/Game
1.33
13.8
Shots/Game
12.2
3.6
Shots on Target
3.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Catanzaro at home (1 match) vs Carrarese away (2 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.00
Goals/Game
0.50
0.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Catanzaro
Home form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
5 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Carrarese
Away form
W
L
L
L
D
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Catanzaro Wins
1
Draws
3
Carrarese Wins
0
Avg Goals
4.0
Carrarese3 – 3Catanzaro
Catanzaro1 – 1Carrarese
Carrarese2 – 2Catanzaro
Catanzaro3 – 1Carrarese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Catanzarovs
Carrarese
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.7%→Latest 46.2%−3.5 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 51.4%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
7 of Catanzaro's 10 matches and 7 of Carrarese's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?