Cesena vs Cremonese Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Stadio Dino Manuzzi
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.29
Draw
3.29
Away Win
2.32
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Cesena
Cremonese
Cristian Shpendi (Dimitri Bisoli) ⚽
22'
Antonio Fiori 🟨
39'
Mihajlo Ilic 🟨
45+3'
Cristian Shpendi ⚽ (P)
59'
75'
⚽ Michele Collocolo (Federico Bonazzoli)
Jacopo Gelli 🟨
77'
80'
⚽ Federico Bonazzoli (Sebastiano Luperto)
Gianluca Frabotta 🟨
80'
90'
🟨 Federico Bonazzoli
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
19
2
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
4
10
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Cesena (4-2-3-1)
A. Siano
A. Ciofi
M. Ilić
J. Gelli
M. Mangraviti
R. Pagano
M. Guidi
X. Druiventak
D. Bisoli
A. Fiori
C. Shpendi
Cremonese (4-2-3-1)
F. Agazzi
A. Vogliacco
M. Bianchetti
S. Luperto
Y. Rocchetti
F. Gerli
S. Pontisso
Adin Ličina
T. Berti
J. Vandeputte
F. Bonazzoli
Player Ratings ?
Cesena
C. ShpendiF8.2
M. MangravitiD6.9
A. FioriM6.8
Cremonese
F. BonazzoliF8.5
M. BianchettiD7.3
S. LupertoD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Cesena edge head-to-head, Cremonese edge recent form and defence, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Cremonese stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Cremonese slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Cesena stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cremonese have secured two victories and a draw in their last five away fixtures, whereas Cesena remain winless at home with four draws and a single defeat during that same span. Cesena have found the net in four of their last five home outings but have kept just one clean sheet across that period. Cremonese rate stronger on form, with a slight advantage in defence, while Cesena rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Cesena won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 22 February 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Cremonese's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 5 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cesena win
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.2%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.8% → 29.3%
−0.5 pts
Cremonese win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.0% → 41.5%
+0.5 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cesena
Draw
Cremonese
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Cesena
Cremonese
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
16th
3
Games Played
3
1.67
Points/Game
1.00
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
12.0
Shots/Game
12.6
3.2
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Cesena at home (3 matches) vs Cremonese away (2 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
0.50
1.33
Goals/Game
1.00
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.50
0%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cesena
Home form
D
D
L
D
D
Winless in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Cremonese
Away form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cesena Wins
3
Draws
0
Cremonese Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.8
2025-02-222024-2025
Cremonese1 – 2Cesena
2024-12-262024-2025
Cesena0 – 1Cremonese
2018-05-182017-2018
Cesena1 – 0Cremonese
2017-12-282017-2018
Cremonese1 – 0Cesena
2006-02-132005-2006
Cesena2 – 1Cremonese
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cesena
vs
Cremonese
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
72.5%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
48.7%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
27.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.4%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.9%→Latest 49.1%+3.2 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 54.4%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of Cesena's 10 matches and 7 of Cremonese's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…