Mantova vs Pisa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 16:15 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.75
Draw
3.31
Away Win
2.72
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Mantova
Pisa
Ettore Gliozzi (Lorenzo Ignacchiti) ⚽
8'
38'
⚽ Filippo Pittarello (Stefano Moreo)
43'
🟨 Antonio Caracciolo
Alessio Castellini 🟨
53'
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes 🟨
54'
57'
⚽ Stefano Moreo (Simone Zanon)
Francesco Modesto 🟥
71'
87'
🟨 Alessandro Confente
89'
🟨 Arturo Calabresi
Ismael Cajazzo 🟨
89'
Stefano Cella 🟨
90'
Vanja Vlahovic (Davide Bragantini) ⚽
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Goal
5
5
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
13
4
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Mantova (3-4-2-1)
F. Bardi
B. Tomašević
S. Cella
A. Castellini
Jonathan Silva
L. Ignacchiti
R. Kouda
F. Benaissa-Yahia
R. Ilie
F. Ruocco
E. Gliozzi
Pisa (3-4-2-1)
A. Confente
A. Primasso
A. Caracciolo
S. Canestrelli
S. Zanon
G. Leone
O. Correia
S. Angori
S. Moreo
M. Tramoni
F. Pittarello
Player Ratings ?
Mantova
E. GliozziF8.2
V. VlahovićF8.1
L. IgnacchitiM7.5
Pisa
S. MoreoM7.9
F. PittarelloF7.9
S. ZanonM7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Mantova edge recent form, Pisa edge defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Mantova slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Pisa slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Pisa stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Pisa have secured four victories from their last five away outings, while Mantova are equally impressive at home with a similar tally of four wins in that same span. Mantova have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that period. Mantova hold a slight advantage in form, while Pisa rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Pisa won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 16 March 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Mantova's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Mantova win
Latest market chance 34.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.9% → 34.9%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 29.2%
+0.5 pts
Pisa win
Latest market chance 35.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.5% → 35.9%
−0.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Mantova
Draw
Pisa
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MantovaPisa
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
10th
4
Games Played
4
2.50
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
0.75
Conceded/Game
1.50
12.0
Shots/Game
16.2
5.0
Shots on Target
6.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Mantova at home (3 matches) vs Pisa away (2 matches)
2.33
Points/Game
2.00
2.33
Goals/Game
2.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.00
67%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Mantova
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Pisa
Away form
W
W
W
L
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Mantova Wins
1
Draws
2
Pisa Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Pisa3 – 1Mantova
Mantova2 – 3Pisa
Pisa1 – 1Mantova
Mantova2 – 1Pisa
Pisa1 – 1Mantova
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Mantovavs
Pisa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.20
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.8%→Latest 49.0%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 55.2%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
6 of Mantova's 10 matches and 6 of Pisa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?