Palermo vs Sampdoria Head to Head, Prediction
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Mon 07 Sep 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.45
Away Win
4.61
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Palermo
Sampdoria
Gabriel Strefezza (Tommaso Augello) ⚽
9'
18'
🟨 Liam Henderson
18'
🟨 Lorenzo Insigne
Joel Pohjanpalo ⚽
33'
Mattia Bani 🟨
47'
63'
⚽ Lorenzo Insigne
Antonio Palumbo 🟨
90+2'
Antonio Palumbo (Dennis Johnsen) ⚽
90+4'
90+6'
🟨 Manuel Cicconi
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
14
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
5
14
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Palermo (4-3-3)
M. Perin
N. Pierozzi
M. Bani
P. Ceccaroni
T. Augello
J. Segre
F. Ranocchia
Hernani
Gabriel Strefezza
J. Pohjanpalo
D. Johnsen
Sampdoria (4-3-3)
P. Vindahl
A. Di Pardo
S. Gartenmann
F. Delli Carri
M. Cicconi
A. Makoumbou
Y. Verschaeren
L. Henderson
D. Sinani
G. Tutino
L. Insigne
Player Ratings ?
Palermo
J. PohjanpaloF8.0
Gabriel StrefezzaF7.9
D. JohnsenF7.0
Sampdoria
L. InsigneF7.6
D. SinaniF6.8
A. MakoumbouM6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Palermo edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, Sampdoria edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Sampdoria slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Palermo stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 6 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Palermo win
Latest market chance 51.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
51.7% → 51.5%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 27.3%
−0.1 pts
Sampdoria win
Latest market chance 21.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.9% → 21.2%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Palermo
Draw
Sampdoria
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PalermoSampdoria
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
16th
2
Games Played
2
3.00
Points/Game
0.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.50
15.6
Shots/Game
16.4
5.6
Shots on Target
5.6
Home vs Away Context
Palermo at home (3 matches) vs Sampdoria away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
0.33
2.00
Goals/Game
0.67
0.67
Conceded/Game
2.00
100%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Palermo
Home form
W
W
W
W
W
Won 5 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
4/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sampdoria
Away form
L
W
D
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Palermo Wins
1
Draws
4
Sampdoria Wins
0
Avg Goals
3.0
Sampdoria3 – 3Palermo
Palermo1 – 0Sampdoria
Sampdoria1 – 1Palermo
Palermo1 – 1Sampdoria
Palermo2 – 2Sampdoria
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Palermovs
Sampdoria
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.10
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 9 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.5%→Latest 48.2%+0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.9%→Latest 52.2%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
8 of Palermo's 10 matches and 8 of Sampdoria's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?