Verona vs Vicenza Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Sun 20 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.89
Draw
3.73
Away Win
4.19
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Verona
Vicenza
Tomas Suslov 🟨
37'
Andrias Edmundsson 🟨
45+1'
49'
🟨 Nicolò Brighenti
58'
⚽ Nicola Rauti (L. Caferri)
70'
🟨 Mattia Valoti
Daniel Mosquera (Amin Sarr) ⚽
74'
Daniel Mosquera (Dailon Livramento) ⚽
76'
Nunzio Lella 🟨
85'
Dailon Livramento 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
16
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Goal
2
3
Corner Kicks
5
14
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Verona (4-2-3-1)
N. Leali
G. Zappa
S. Korač
P. Dawidowicz
D. De Battisti
A. Le Borgne
E. Iannoni
N. Lella
T. Suslov
A. Sarr
S. Mulattieri
Vicenza (3-5-2)
R. Gagno
G. Cuomo
N. Brighenti
R. Marchizza
L. Caferri
L. Zonta
A. Bellemo
Filippo Alessio
F. Costa
N. Rauti
S. Merkaj
Player Ratings ?
Verona
D. MosqueraF9.4
A. SarrM7.7
S. MulattieriF7.1
Vicenza
N. RautiF7.8
R. GagnoG6.6
F. CostaM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Verona edge attack and head-to-head, Vicenza edge recent form, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Vicenza stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Verona stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Verona slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Vicenza have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Verona have registered two victories in their last five home fixtures. Verona have found the net in four of their last five matches at home, though they have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Vicenza rate stronger on form, while Verona rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Vicenza
Vicenza's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Vicenza win as less likely than it did 3 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Verona remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Verona win
Latest market chance 50.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.5% → 50.0%
+0.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 26.4%
+0.3 pts
Vicenza win
Latest market chance 23.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
24.4% → 23.6%
−0.8 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
VeronaVicenza
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
14th
4
Games Played
4
1.00
Points/Game
1.25
2.00
Goals/Game
1.50
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
16.2
Shots/Game
13.8
5.6
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
Verona at home (3 matches) vs Vicenza away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.33
2.67
Goals/Game
1.00
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.33
67%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Verona
Home form
L
L
W
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Vicenza
Away form
L
W
W
L
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Verona Wins
3
Draws
0
Vicenza Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.8
Verona3 – 2Vicenza
Vicenza1 – 0Verona
Verona0 – 1Vicenza
Vicenza2 – 3Verona
Verona2 – 0Vicenza
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Veronavs
Vicenza
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.8%→Latest 53.0%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.7%→Latest 56.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Verona's 10 matches and 6 of Vicenza's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?