Aris vs Iraklis Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.62
Draw
3.91
Away Win
5.62
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Aris
Iraklis
Martin Hongla 🟨
32'
37'
🟨 Ivi López
44'
🟨 Praxitelis Vouros
69'
🟨 Yohan Roche
Match Statistics ?
59%
Ball Possession
41%
23
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
17
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Aris (4-2-2-2)
Ricardo Velho
N. Fadiga
Fabiano
B. Šutalo
O. Richards
M. Hongla
U. Račić
B. Garré
G. Gianniotas
T. Kadewere
Loren Morón
Iraklis (5-4-1)
G. Athanasiadis
Carles Soria
P. Vouros
Piña
Y. Roche
Nanu
Ivi López
V. Sourlis
N. Radoja
R. Nizet
Pedro Marques
Player Ratings ?
Aris
N. FadigaD7.8
O. RichardsD7.5
FabianoD7.0
Iraklis
PiñaD7.1
R. NizetM6.8
Carles SoriaD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Aris edge recent form, Iraklis edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Iraklis stronger
HomeAway
Limited comparison — attack and defence data unavailable for this competition.
Match Analysis
Iraklis have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while Aris boast four victories in that same span at home. Aris have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have kept just one clean sheet in that period. Aris rate stronger on form, while Iraklis rate stronger on head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2011. Over the 5-day comparison window, Aris's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points, while Iraklis's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
12
Aris points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Aris
Aris's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Aris win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Aris win
Latest market chance 57.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
54.4% → 57.4%
+3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
26.4% → 25.0%
−1.4 pts
Iraklis win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
19.2% → 17.6%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Aris
Draw
Iraklis
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ArisIraklis
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
8th
4
Games Played
4
1.50
Points/Game
1.25
1.25
Goals/Game
1.00
2.50
Conceded/Game
1.50
16.2
Shots/Game
7.8
4.8
Shots on Target
1.4
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Aris at home (2 matches) vs Iraklis away (4 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.25
1.00
Goals/Game
0.75
0.50
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Aris
Home form
L
W
W
W
W
Won 4 straight at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Iraklis
Away form
W
D
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Aris Wins
2
Draws
1
Iraklis Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Aris0 – 1Iraklis
Iraklis1 – 0Aris
Aris4 – 2Iraklis
Iraklis2 – 2Aris
Iraklis0 – 1Aris
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Arisvs
Iraklis
Recent Scoring Profile
1.90
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.9%→Latest 47.5%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 47.9%→Latest 47.9%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
6 of Aris's 10 matches and 6 of Iraklis's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?