Asteras Tripolis vs AEK Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
9.02
Draw
4.98
Away Win
1.36
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Asteras Tripolis
AEK
4'
🟨 Lovro Majer
21'
⚽ (OG) Dimitrios Laskaris
Julián Bartolo (Federico Macheda) ⚽
31'
Julián Bartolo 🟨
54'
Giannis Kotsiras 🟨
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
37%
Ball Possession
63%
13
Total Shots
21
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
5
18
Fouls
11
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Asteras Tripolis (3-4-3)
V. Chatziemmanouil
F. Brorsson
D. Laskaris
J. Silva
G. Kotsiras
D. Kourbelis
Eder González
Alex Méndez
J. Bartolo
F. Macheda
K. Ketu
AEK (4-4-2)
A. Brignoli
L. Rota
H. Moukoudi
Filipe Relvas
S. Pilios
L. Majer
K. Arriaga
R. Marin
M. Gaćinović
Zini
L. Jović
Player Ratings ?
Asteras Tripolis
J. BartoloF8.2
K. KetuF7.0
Alex MéndezM6.9
AEK
Filipe RelvasD7.8
A. BrignoliG7.7
L. MajerM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
AEK
AEK rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AEK an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Attack
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AEK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
AEK have remained unbeaten in their last five away fixtures with just a solitary victory to their name, while Asteras Tripolis have secured two wins from their home outings over the same period but also suffered two defeats. At home, Asteras Tripolis have found the net in just two of their last five matches and have kept a clean sheet on two occasions during that identical run. AEK rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. AEK won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 24 January 2026, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Asteras Tripolis's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Asteras Tripolis's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points, while AEK's implied win probability has risen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours AEK.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards AEK
AEK's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a AEK win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Asteras Tripolis win
Latest market chance 11.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
11.5% → 11.2%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
21.5% → 20.2%
−1.3 pts
AEK win
Latest market chance 68.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
67.0% → 68.6%
+1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Asteras Tripolis
Draw
AEK
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Asteras TripolisAEK
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
4th
3
Games Played
3
0.00
Points/Game
2.33
0.33
Goals/Game
3.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
0.33
11.6
Shots/Game
17.2
4.4
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Asteras Tripolis at home (3 matches) vs AEK away (4 matches)
0.33
Points/Game
2.00
0.33
Goals/Game
1.50
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
0%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Asteras Tripolis
Home form
W
W
D
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
AEK
Away form
D
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Asteras Tripolis Wins
0
Draws
0
AEK Wins
5
Avg Goals
2.8
Asteras Tripolis0 – 1AEK
AEK1 – 0Asteras Tripolis
Asteras Tripolis0 – 3AEK
AEK3 – 0Asteras Tripolis
AEK4 – 2Asteras Tripolis
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Asteras Tripolisvs
AEK
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.10
1.30
Goals conceded / game
0.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 51.8%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 44.3%→Latest 44.9%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Asteras Tripolis's 10 matches and 7 of AEK's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?