Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UK
Latest Odds
Home Win
2.17
Draw
3.30
Away Win
3.39
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Olympiakos edge defence and head-to-head, Panathinaikos edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Panathinaikos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Panathinaikos slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Olympiakos stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Panathinaikos have secured three victories from their last five away outings, while Olympiakos have managed just two wins in that same span at home. At home, Olympiakos have found the net in three of their last five matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that period. Panathinaikos hold a slight advantage in form and attack, while Olympiakos rate stronger on defence and head-to-head. Olympiakos won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 13 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Panathinaikos's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Olympiakos's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Panathinaikos's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Panathinaikos unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
Team Availability
Olympiakos
No current absences reported
Panathinaikos
No current absences reported
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Olympiakos
Olympiakos's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Olympiakos win as less likely than it did 21 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Olympiakos win
Latest market chance 43.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
45.8% → 43.7%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.6% → 28.5%
−0.1 pts
Panathinaikos win
Latest market chance 27.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
25.6% → 27.7%
+2.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Olympiakos
Draw
Panathinaikos
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 21 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
OlympiakosPanathinaikos
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
1st
6
Games Played
6
2.17
Points/Game
3.00
0.83
Goals/Game
2.17
0.33
Conceded/Game
0.33
19.2
Shots/Game
19.6
5.6
Shots on Target
7.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
Olympiakos at home (2 matches) vs Panathinaikos away (3 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
3.00
0.50
Goals/Game
1.33
0.50
Conceded/Game
0.00
50%
Win Rate
100%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Olympiakos
Home form
L
D
W
W
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Panathinaikos
Away form
L
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Olympiakos Wins
3
Draws
1
Panathinaikos Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.4
Olympiakos1 – 0Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos0 – 2Olympiakos
Olympiakos0 – 1Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos1 – 1Olympiakos
Panathinaikos0 – 1Olympiakos
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Olympiakosvs
Panathinaikos
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.60
0.70
Goals conceded / game
0.70
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 45.3%→Latest 44.9%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 50.0%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
4 of Olympiakos's 10 matches and 4 of Panathinaikos's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?