PAOK vs Aris Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Toumba Stadium
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.64
Draw
4.12
Away Win
5.29
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
PAOK
Aris
Jonjoe Kenny 🟨
3'
Christos Zafeiris 🟨
20'
25'
🟨 Tino Kadewere
Cherif Ndiaye ⚽ (P)
32'
Andrija Živković ⚽
42'
Cherif Ndiaye 🟨
77'
Match Statistics ?
46%
Ball Possession
54%
13
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
7
15
Fouls
15
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
PAOK (4-2-3-1)
J. Pavlenka
J. Kenny
Diego Costa
G. Michailidis
A. Baba
C. Zafeiris
O. Ugresić
A. Živković
D. Pelkas
Taison
C. Ndiaye
Aris (4-2-3-1)
Ricardo Velho
N. Fadiga
Fabiano
B. Šutalo
O. Richards
T. Dele-Bashiru
U. Račić
B. Garré
F. Jensen
G. Gianniotas
T. Kadewere
Player Ratings ?
PAOK
A. ŽivkovićM8.1
Diego CostaD7.2
C. NdiayeF7.0
Aris
Ricardo VelhoG7.1
G. GianniotasM6.9
B. ŠutaloD6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. PAOK edge head-to-head, Aris edge recent form and attack, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Aris stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PAOK stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PAOK have kept clean sheets in three of their last five home matches while remaining unbeaten with three wins and two draws across that same span, whereas Aris have recorded three victories from their last five away fixtures alongside a single draw and one defeat. PAOK have found the net in four of their last five home outings while also keeping three clean sheets within that identical recent sample. Aris rate stronger on form and attack, while PAOK rate stronger on head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 8 February 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, PAOK's implied win probability has fallen by 5.3 percentage points, while Aris's implied win probability has risen by 2.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from PAOK
PAOK's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a PAOK win as less likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
PAOK win
Latest market chance 59.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
64.7% → 59.4%
−5.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
20.6% → 23.0%
+2.4 pts
Aris win
Latest market chance 17.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
14.8% → 17.6%
+2.8 pts
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PAOKAris
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
7th
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.33
Goals/Game
1.67
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.67
12.2
Shots/Game
16.2
4.2
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away ContextEarly sample
PAOK at home (2 matches) vs Aris away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
3.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.00
Conceded/Game
3.00
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
PAOK
Home form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Aris
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
PAOK Wins
2
Draws
2
Aris Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
Aris0 – 0PAOK
PAOK3 – 1Aris
Aris0 – 0PAOK
PAOK0 – 1Aris
Aris1 – 2PAOK
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
PAOKvs
Aris
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.0%→Latest 50.9%−5.1 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.2%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
7 of PAOK's 10 matches and 7 of Aris's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?