Alanyaspor vs Goztep Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Alanya Oba Stadium
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.19
Draw
3.43
Away Win
3.43
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Alanyaspor
Goztep
22'
🟨 Juan Santos da Silva
28'
⚽ Rhaldney (A. Antunes)
P. Fernandes (Bikoue) ⚽
63'
Ianis Hagi 🟨
65'
Nuno Lima 🟨
72'
73'
⚽ (P) Juan
G. Makouta (I. Hagi) ⚽
75'
82'
🟨 Arda Kurtulan
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
20
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Goal
4
9
Corner Kicks
3
8
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Alanyaspor (4-3-3)
Paulo Victor
Florent Hadergjonaj
Nuno Lima
Fidan Aliti
Ruan Pereira Duarte
Baran Ali Gezek
Fatih Aksoy
Gaius Makouta
Paolo Fernandes
Omar Ben Ali
Meschak Elia
Goztep (3-4-1-2)
Arda Özçimen
Ege Yildirim
Taha Altıkardeş
Malcom Bokele
Arda Kurtulan
Rhaldney
Alex Matos
Richard Akonnor
Alexis Antunes
André Henrique
Juan Santos da Silva
Player Ratings ?
Alanyaspor
Gaius MakoutaM8.0
Nuno LimaD7.3
Ianis HagiM7.3
Goztep
RhaldneyM8.6
Richard AkonnorM7.6
Taha AltıkardeşD7.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Alanyaspor edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Goztep edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Goztep stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Alanyaspor have secured three wins from their last five home outings, while Goztep remain winless in their last five away fixtures with just two draws and a single defeat. The hosts have scored in all of their last five matches at home, yet they have only kept two clean sheets during that same recent spell. Alanyaspor rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Goztep rate stronger on attack. The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Alanyaspor
Alanyaspor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Alanyaspor win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Alanyaspor win
Latest market chance 43.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.9% → 43.4%
+4.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.1%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
29.2% → 28.1%
−1.1 pts
Goztep win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
31.9% → 28.5%
−3.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
6 snapshots
+5+2.50−2.5Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Alanyaspor
Draw
Goztep
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Alanyaspor
Goztep
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
17th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
0.25
1.00
Goals/Game
1.75
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.75
10.8
Shots/Game
17.2
3.0
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Alanyaspor at home (3 matches) vs Goztep away (4 matches)
1.67
Points/Game
0.75
1.67
Goals/Game
2.25
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.50
33%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Alanyaspor
Home form
W
D
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Goztep
Away form
D
D
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Alanyaspor Wins
3
Draws
2
Goztep Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
2026-03-142025-2026
Goztep2 – 2Alanyaspor
2025-10-192025-2026
Alanyaspor1 – 0Goztep
2025-02-022024-2025
Goztep0 – 1Alanyaspor
2024-08-232024-2025
Alanyaspor1 – 1Goztep
2022-03-192021-2022
Goztep0 – 2Alanyaspor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Alanyaspor
vs
Goztep
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.00
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
71.7%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.8%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
27.7%
BTTSBoth teams score
52.8%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.0%→Latest 47.8%+3.8 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.2%→Latest 53.0%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Sep 7Sep 8Sep 9Sep 10Sep 11Sep 12
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
6 of Alanyaspor's 10 matches and 6 of Goztep's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
Loading poll…