Corum vs Alanyaspor Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Corum Stadyumu
Sat 19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.14
Draw
3.39
Away Win
3.60
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Corum
Alanyaspor
Cengiz Ünder 🟨
28'
Serdar Saatçı 🟨
40'
Andrei Borza 🟨
56'
Ahmed Ildız 🟨
57'
67'
⚽ G. Makouta (F. Hadergjonaj)
J. Ramirez (A. Kyziridis) ⚽
76'
79'
⚽ A. Usluoglu
Çağlar Söyüncü 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
3
20
Fouls
7
5
Yellow Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Corum (4-2-3-1)
Marcos Felipe
G. Sazdagi
S. Saatci
H. Smolcic
A. Borza
Y. Ramadani
Fredy
C. Under
M. Diomande
A. Kyziridis
J. Ramirez
Alanyaspor (3-4-2-1)
Paulo Victor
N. Lima
F. Aliti
F. Aksoy
F. Hadergjonaj
G. Makouta
B. Gezek
Ruan
P. Fernandes
Hwang Ui-Jo
Bikoue
Player Ratings ?
Corum
Serdar SaatçıD7.2
Alexandros KyziridisM7.2
Gökhan SazdağıD7.0
Alanyaspor
Gaius MakoutaM8.0
Ruan Pereira DuarteM7.7
Baran Ali GezekM7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Corum edge recent form and attack, Alanyaspor edge defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Corum slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Corum stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Alanyaspor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Alanyaspor have recorded just one win from their last five away outings across multiple seasons, while Corum have secured a single victory in only two home matches. Corum have scored in one of their last two home matches and kept just a single clean sheet during that same short sample. Alanyaspor face an availability concern with one player listed as out ahead of the fixture. Corum rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form, while Alanyaspor rate stronger on defence. Over the 6-day comparison window, Corum's implied win probability has risen by 3.1 percentage points, while Alanyaspor's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Corum
Corum's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Corum win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Corum win
Latest market chance 44.7%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
41.6% → 44.7%
+3.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.7% → 28.2%
−0.5 pts
Alanyaspor win
Latest market chance 27.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.7% → 27.1%
−2.6 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
7 snapshots
+3.5+1.750−1.75Sep 13Sep 14Sep 15Sep 16Sep 17Sep 18Sep 19
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Corum
Draw
Alanyaspor
3 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Corum
Alanyaspor
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
8th
6
Games Played
6
1.67
Points/Game
1.50
2.83
Goals/Game
1.33
1.83
Conceded/Game
1.17
13.0
Shots/Game
10.8
5.0
Shots on Target
3.0
Home vs Away Context
Corum at home (4 matches) vs Alanyaspor away (5 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
2.00
1.25
Goals/Game
1.40
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.00
25%
Win Rate
60%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Corum
Home form
L
W
Won 1 of last 2 at home
Limited history — only 2 home fixtures on record for Corum.
1.5
Goals scored
per match
0.5
Goals conceded
per match
1/2
Scored in
last 2
1/2
Clean
sheets
VS
Alanyaspor
Away form
D
L
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Corum and Alanyaspor.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Corum
vs
Alanyaspor
Recent Scoring Profile
2.83
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.83
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/6
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
4/6
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/6
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
71.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.1%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
26.9%
BTTSBoth teams score
52.3%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 41.9%→Latest 47.2%+5.3 pts
Strong move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 5 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 48.6%→Latest 52.3%+3.7 pts
Strong move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
3 common bookmakers · first comparable 6 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Corum have only 6 completed fixtures on record.
4 of Alanyaspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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