Fenerbahce vs Besiktas Head to Head, Prediction
Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu
Sat 05 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.83
Draw
3.87
Away Win
4.03
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Fenerbahce
Besiktas
M. Skriniar ⚽
26'
38'
⚽ R. Yilmaz (L. Trossard)
Mason Greenwood 🟨
45+1'
45'
🟨 Emirhan Topçu
Ederson 🟨
52'
Milan Škriniar 🟨
52'
53'
🟨 Dušan Vlahović
59'
🟨 Václav Černý
73'
⚽ D. Vlahovic (O. Kokcu)
Mattéo Guendouzi 🟨
76'
Match Statistics ?
50%
Ball Possession
50%
9
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
6
2
Corner Kicks
7
18
Fouls
21
4
Yellow Cards
3
2
Offsides
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Fenerbahce (4-2-3-1)
Ederson
N. Semedo
M. Skriniar
N. Ake
A. Brown
M. Guendouzi
N. Kante
M. Greenwood
I. Kahveci
O. Aydin
V. Muriqi
Besiktas (4-1-4-1)
A. Nubel
M. Murillo
E. Agbadou
E. Topcu
R. Yilmaz
S. Ozcan
V. Cerny
J. Olaitan
O. Kokcu
L. Trossard
D. Vlahovic
Player Ratings ?
Fenerbahce
Milan ŠkriniarD7.9
EdersonG7.6
N'Golo KantéM7.0
Besiktas
Junior OlaitanM7.7
Rıdvan YılmazD7.2
Leandro TrossardM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Fenerbahce edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Fenerbahce stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Fenerbahce win
Latest market chance 51.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
52.2% → 51.6%
−0.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.6% → 24.8%
+0.2 pts
Besiktas win
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.2% → 23.5%
+0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Fenerbahce
Draw
Besiktas
11 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
FenerbahceBesiktas
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
3rd
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.33
Goals/Game
2.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.00
18.3
Shots/Game
17.8
7.7
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Fenerbahce at home (3 matches) vs Besiktas away (3 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.00
4.33
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.67
67%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Fenerbahce
Home form
W
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Besiktas
Away form
L
L
W
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Fenerbahce Wins
3
Draws
0
Besiktas Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Fenerbahce1 – 0Besiktas
Besiktas2 – 3Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce0 – 1Besiktas
Besiktas1 – 0Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce2 – 1Besiktas
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Fenerbahcevs
Besiktas
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 10 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.8%→Latest 55.2%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.7%→Latest 56.5%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
7 of Fenerbahce's 10 matches and 7 of Besiktas's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?