Genclerbirligi vs Kasimpasa Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Eryaman Stadium
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.37
Draw
3.23
Away Win
3.31
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Genclerbirligi
Kasimpasa
O. Diabate (D. Goutas) ⚽
23'
47'
🟨 E. Mendes
O. Diabate 🟨
55'
M. Diyadin 🟨
55'
Thalisson Kelven 🟨
77'
79'
⚽ A. Benedyczak (E. Mendes)
T. Gouveia 🟨
82'
82'
🟨 C. Winck
90+4'
⚽ G. Yalcin (A. Arous)
90+5'
🟨 G. Yalcin
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
15
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
9
18
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Genclerbirligi (4-1-4-1)
İrfan Can Eğribayat
Pedro Pereira
Dimitris Goutas
Thalisson
Abdurrahim Dursun
Ousmane Diabate
Adama Malouda Traoré
Oğulcan Ülgün
Franco Tongya
Tiago Gouveia
Pedro Mendes
Kasimpasa (4-2-3-1)
Andreas Gianniotis
Cláudio Winck
Kevin Mouanga
Matei Ilie
Ayberk Karapo
Elson Mendes
Kerem Demirbay
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
Emirhan Boz
Ali Yavuz Kol
Adrian Benedyczak
Player Ratings ?
Genclerbirligi
Ousmane DiabateM7.7
Pedro PereiraD7.2
Adama Malouda TraoréM7.2
Kasimpasa
Adrian BenedyczakF7.9
Matei IlieD7.6
Andreas GianniotisG7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Genclerbirligi edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, defence is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Genclerbirligi slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Genclerbirligi slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Genclerbirligi stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Genclerbirligi have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Kasimpasa have managed just a single win in that same span away from home. The hosts have found the net in each of their last five matches at this venue but have kept just one clean sheet during that identical run. Genclerbirligi carry two out-counts and one doubtful selection, whereas Kasimpasa face a heavier burden with two confirmed absences alongside three players listed as doubtful. Genclerbirligi rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and attack, while defence is closely matched. Genclerbirligi won the most recent meeting 3-2 on 9 May 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Kasimpasa's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 6-day comparison window, Genclerbirligi's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points, while Kasimpasa's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Kasimpasa win as less likely than it did 6 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Genclerbirligi remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Genclerbirligi win
Latest market chance 40.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
39.7% → 40.7%
+1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.2% → 29.6%
+0.4 pts
Kasimpasa win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
31.1% → 29.7%
−1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Genclerbirligi
Draw
Kasimpasa
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
GenclerbirligiKasimpasa
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
12th
4
Games Played
4
1.75
Points/Game
1.50
1.00
Goals/Game
1.25
1.75
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.0
Shots/Game
11.7
3.5
Shots on Target
3.3
Home vs Away Context
Genclerbirligi at home (3 matches) vs Kasimpasa away (3 matches)
1.33
Points/Game
2.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.33
1.33
Conceded/Game
0.67
33%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Genclerbirligi
Home form
L
W
W
W
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Kasimpasa
Away form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
3 of these matches from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Genclerbirligi Wins
2
Draws
1
Kasimpasa Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Genclerbirligi3 – 2Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa0 – 0Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi2 – 1Kasimpasa
Kasimpasa2 – 0Genclerbirligi
Genclerbirligi0 – 2Kasimpasa
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Genclerbirligivs
Kasimpasa
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.50
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.6%→Latest 45.5%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 51.6%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
6 of Genclerbirligi's 10 matches and 6 of Kasimpasa's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?