Kocaelispor vs Samsunspor Head to Head, Prediction
Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
Sun 06 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.56
Draw
2.97
Away Win
3.12
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Kocaelispor
Samsunspor
F. Aye ⚽
26'
Massadio Haïdara 🟨
28'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Corner Kicks
4
13
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Kocaelispor (4-1-4-1)
S. Oztasdelen
A. Dijksteel
T. Zoukrou
M. Maglica
M. Haidara
Show
D. Agyei
U. Yildiz
B. Kutlu
G. Sousa
F. Aye
Samsunspor (4-4-2)
O. Kocuk
J. Mendes
Y. E. Cift
G. Guarino
L. Tomasson
Y. Kayan
C. Yuksel
S. Onur
E. Kilinc
S. Jarju
A. Sekongo
Player Ratings ?
Kocaelispor
Serhat ÖztaşdelenG8.6
Florian AyéF8.0
Massadio HaïdaraD7.7
Samsunspor
Okan KocukG7.0
Gabriele GuarinoD7.0
Josafat MendesD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Kocaelispor edge defence, Samsunspor edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Samsunspor stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Samsunspor stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Kocaelispor stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Samsunspor stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Kocaelispor win as more likely than it did 6 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Kocaelispor win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
35.7% → 37.4%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 30.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
31.9% → 30.7%
−1.2 pts
Samsunspor win
Latest market chance 32.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
32.4% → 32.0%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Kocaelispor
Draw
Samsunspor
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 6 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
KocaelisporSamsunspor
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
10th
3
Games Played
3
2.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.67
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.67
12.3
Shots/Game
13.2
4.0
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Kocaelispor at home (4 matches) vs Samsunspor away (3 matches)
3.00
Points/Game
1.00
1.75
Goals/Game
0.67
0.00
Conceded/Game
0.67
100%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Kocaelispor
Home form
L
D
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
4 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Samsunspor
Away form
L
W
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
4 of these matches from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Kocaelispor Wins
0
Draws
2
Samsunspor Wins
3
Avg Goals
1.0
Samsunspor0 – 0Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor0 – 1Samsunspor
Samsunspor1 – 0Kocaelispor
Kocaelispor1 – 2Samsunspor
Samsunspor0 – 0Kocaelispor
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Kocaelisporvs
Samsunspor
Recent Scoring Profile
0.70
Goals scored / game
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.70
1/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 43.5%→Latest 43.0%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.4%→Latest 49.9%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
7 of Kocaelispor's 10 matches and 7 of Samsunspor's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?